Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://hdl.handle.net/2122/12871| DC Field | Value | Language |
|---|---|---|
| dc.date.accessioned | 2019-11-05T14:26:03Z | en |
| dc.date.available | 2019-11-05T14:26:03Z | en |
| dc.date.issued | 2019-07 | en |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/2122/12871 | en |
| dc.description.abstract | When a batch of magma reaches Earth's surface, it forms a vent from which volcanic products are erupted. At many volcanoes, successive batches may open vents far away from previous ones, resulting in scattered, sometimes seemingly random spatial distributions. This exposes vast areas to volcanic hazards and makes forecasting difficult. Here, we show that magma pathways and thus future vent locations may be forecast by combining the physics of magma transport with a Monte Carlo inversion scheme for the volcano stress history. We validate our approach on a densely populated active volcanic field, Campi Flegrei (Italy), where we forecast future vents on an onshore semiannular belt located between 2.3 and 4.2 km from the caldera center. Our approach offers a mechanical explanation for the vent migration over time at Campi Flegrei and at many calderas worldwide and may be applicable to volcanoes of any type. | en |
| dc.language.iso | English | en |
| dc.relation.ispartof | Science advances | en |
| dc.relation.ispartofseries | /5 (2019) | en |
| dc.subject | Stress inversions | en |
| dc.subject | forecast magma | en |
| dc.subject | vent location | en |
| dc.title | Stress inversions to forecast magma pathways and eruptive vent location | en |
| dc.type | article | en |
| dc.description.status | Published | en |
| dc.description.pagenumber | eaau9784 | en |
| dc.subject.INGV | 04.08. Volcanology | en |
| dc.identifier.doi | 10.1126/sciadv.aau9784 | en |
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| dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico | 6V. Pericolosità vulcanica e contributi alla stima del rischio | en |
| dc.description.journalType | JCR Journal | en |
| dc.relation.eissn | 2375-2548 | en |
| dc.contributor.author | Rivalta, E. | en |
| dc.contributor.author | Corbi, F. | en |
| dc.contributor.author | Passarelli, L. | en |
| dc.contributor.author | Acocella, V. | en |
| dc.contributor.author | Davis, T | en |
| dc.contributor.author | Di Vito, Mauro Antonio | en |
| dc.contributor.department | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione OV, Napoli, Italia | en |
| item.openairetype | article | - |
| item.cerifentitytype | Publications | - |
| item.languageiso639-1 | en | - |
| item.grantfulltext | restricted | - |
| item.openairecristype | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf | - |
| item.fulltext | With Fulltext | - |
| crisitem.author.dept | GFZ German Research Center for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany | - |
| crisitem.author.dept | Università “Roma TRE”, Dip Scienze, Laboratory of Experimental Tectonics, Rome | - |
| crisitem.author.dept | German Research Centre for Geosciences | - |
| crisitem.author.dept | Università Roma Tre, Dipartimento di Scienze Geologiche, Rome, Italy | - |
| crisitem.author.dept | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione OV, Napoli, Italia | - |
| crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0001-8245-0504 | - |
| crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0003-2662-3065 | - |
| crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0002-7913-9149 | - |
| crisitem.author.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
| crisitem.classification.parent | 04. Solid Earth | - |
| crisitem.department.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
| Appears in Collections: | Article published / in press | |
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| File | Description | Size | Format | Existing users please Login |
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| di_rivalta et al 2019 articleeaau9784.full.pdf | 1.88 MB | Adobe PDF |
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