Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2122/13422
Authors: Papale, Paolo* 
Marzocchi, Warner* 
Title: Volcanic threats to global society
Journal: Science 
Series/Report no.: 6433 / 363 (2019)
Issue Date: 22-Mar-2019
DOI: 10.1126/science.aaw7201
Abstract: The global society is under the threat of a volcanic super-eruption, with consequences that may undermine the same fabric of civilization. Recent discover that volcanic eruptions at the global scale distribute as Poisson events, and determination of the rate parameters associated to any eruption scale, allow us to compute the probability of occurrence of volcanic eruptions of any size over any time window. The yearly probability of a volcanic super-eruptions is about ten times higher that the maximum allowed probability for core melting at nuclear reactors, and ten times higher that the probability of impact with a large celestial body. Still, no resilience plans for globally impacting cataclysmic super-eruptions have been produced yet.
Appears in Collections:Article published / in press

Files in This Item:
File Description SizeFormat Existing users please Login
Papale&Marzocchi_Science2019.pdf715.2 kBAdobe PDF
Show full item record

WEB OF SCIENCETM
Citations

2
checked on Jul 9, 2020

Page view(s)

29
Last Week
0
Last month
8
checked on Jul 9, 2020

Download(s)

1
checked on Jul 9, 2020

Google ScholarTM

Check

Altmetric