Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://hdl.handle.net/2122/7290
DC Field | Value | Language |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.authorall | Marzocchi, W.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Roma1, Roma, Italia | en |
dc.contributor.authorall | Zechar, J. D.; University of Southern California | en |
dc.date.accessioned | 2012-01-05T09:06:30Z | en |
dc.date.available | 2012-01-05T09:06:30Z | en |
dc.date.issued | 2011 | en |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/2122/7290 | en |
dc.description.abstract | We consider the general problem of constructing or selecting the “best” earthquake forecast/prediction model. While many researchers have presented technical methods for solving this problem, the practical and philosophical dimensions are scarcely treated in the scientific literature, and we wish to emphasize these aspects here. Of particular interest are the marked differ- ences between approaches used to build long-term earthquake rupture forecasts and those used to conduct systematic earth- quake predictability experiments. Our aim is to clarify the dif- ferent approaches, and we suggest that these differences, while perhaps not intuitive, are understandable and appropriate for their specific goals. We note that what constitutes the “best” model is not uniquely defined, and the definition often depends on the needs and goals of the model’s consumer. | en |
dc.language.iso | English | en |
dc.publisher.name | Seismological Society of America | en |
dc.relation.ispartof | Seismological Research Letters | en |
dc.relation.ispartofseries | /82 (2011) | en |
dc.subject | model selection | en |
dc.title | Earthquake forecasting and earthquake prediction: different approaches for obtaining the best model | en |
dc.type | article | en |
dc.description.status | Published | en |
dc.type.QualityControl | Peer-reviewed | en |
dc.description.pagenumber | 442-448 | en |
dc.subject.INGV | 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.11. Seismic risk | en |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1785/gssrl.82.3.442 | en |
dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico | 4.2. TTC - Modelli per la stima della pericolosità sismica a scala nazionale | en |
dc.description.journalType | JCR Journal | en |
dc.description.fulltext | reserved | en |
dc.contributor.author | Marzocchi, W. | en |
dc.contributor.author | Zechar, J. D. | en |
dc.contributor.department | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Roma1, Roma, Italia | en |
dc.contributor.department | University of Southern California | en |
item.openairetype | article | - |
item.cerifentitytype | Publications | - |
item.languageiso639-1 | en | - |
item.grantfulltext | restricted | - |
item.openairecristype | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf | - |
item.fulltext | With Fulltext | - |
crisitem.author.dept | ETH Zurich | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0002-9114-1516 | - |
crisitem.classification.parent | 04. Solid Earth | - |
crisitem.department.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
Appears in Collections: | Article published / in press |
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File | Description | Size | Format | Existing users please Login |
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SRL_marzocchi_zechar_11.pdf | 795.61 kB | Adobe PDF |
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