Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2122/3855
DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorallPietrella, M.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Roma2, Roma, Italiaen
dc.contributor.authorallPerrone, L.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Roma2, Roma, Italiaen
dc.date.accessioned2008-05-15T07:40:24Zen
dc.date.available2008-05-15T07:40:24Zen
dc.date.issued2008en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2122/3855en
dc.description.abstractAn ionospheric forecasting empirical local model over Rome (IFELMOR) has been developed to predict the state of the critical frequency of the F2 layer (foF2) during geomagnetic storms and disturbed ionospheric conditions. Hourly measurements of foF2 obtained at the Rome observatory, hourly quiet-time values of foF2 (foF2QT), and the hourly time-weighted accumulation series derived from the geomagnetic planetary index ap (ap(tau)), were considered during the period January 1976–December 2003. Under the assumption that the ionospheric disturbance index log(foF2/foF2QT) is correlated to the integrated geomagnetic index ap(tau), statistically significant regression coefficients are obtained for different months and for different ranges of ap(tau) and used as input to calculate the short-term ionospheric forecasting of foF2. The empirical storm-time ionospheric correction model (STORM) was used to make comparisons with the IFELMOR model. A few comparisons between STORM’s performance, IFELMOR’s performance, the median measurements and the foF2QT values, were made for significant geomagnetic storm events (ap>150) occurring from 2000 to 2003. The results provided by IFELMOR are satisfactory, in particular, for periods characterized by high geomagnetic activity and very disturbed ionospheric conditions.en
dc.language.isoEnglishen
dc.publisher.nameEGU - Copernicus Publicationsen
dc.relation.ispartofAnnales Geophysicaeen
dc.relation.ispartofseries/ 26 (2008)en
dc.subjectIonosphereen
dc.subjectIonosphere-Magnetosphere interactionsen
dc.subjectIonospheric disturbancesen
dc.subjectModeling and forecastingen
dc.titleA local ionospheric model for forecasting the critical frequency of the F2 layer during disturbed geomagnetic and ionospheric conditionsen
dc.typearticleen
dc.description.statusPublisheden
dc.type.QualityControlPeer-revieweden
dc.description.pagenumber323-334en
dc.identifier.URLhttp://www.ann-geophys.net/26/323/2008/en
dc.subject.INGV01. Atmosphere::01.02. Ionosphere::01.02.03. Forecastsen
dc.relation.referencesAraujo-Pradere, E. A., Fuller-Rowell, T. J., and Codrescu, M. V.: STORM: an empirical storm-time ionospheric correction model:1. Model description, Radio Sci., 37(5), 1070, doi:10.1029/2001RS002467, 2002. Belehaki, A., Moraitis, G., and Tsagouri, I.: On the derivation of an hourly local index to define the normal ionosphere, Annali di Geofisica, 43(1), 189–203, 2000. Bilitza, D.: IRI 2000, Radio Sci., 36(2), 261–276, doi:10.1029/2000RS002432, 2001. Bradley, P.: PRIME (Prediction and Retrospective Ionospheric Modelling over Europe), Cost Action 238, Final Report, Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Chilton Didcot, UK, 1999. Buonsanto, M. J.: Ionospheric Storms – A review, Space Sci. Rev., 88, 563–601, 1999. Burns, A. G. and Killen, T. L.:. The equatorial neutral thermospheric response to geomagnetic forcing, Geophys. Res. Lett., 19, 977–980, 1992. Cander, Lj. R. and Mihajlovic, S. J.: Forecasting ionospheric structure during the great geomagnetic storms, J. Geophys. Res., 103(A1), 391–398, doi:10.1029/97JA02418, 1998. Cander, Lj. R., Milosavljevic, M. M., Stankovic, S. S., and Tomasevic, S.: Ionospheric forecasting technique by artificial neural network, Electronics Lett., 34(16), 1573–1574, 1998. Comite Consultatif International des Radio Communications (CCIR): Atlas of ionospheric characteristics, Rep 340-6, Geneva, 1991. Cooper, J., Barbatsi, K., Gulyaeva, T. L., et al.: PRIME Catalogue of undisturbed days No. 1 in proceedings of COST 238 Workshop, Universitat Graz, Austria, Part 1, 1993. Fuller-Rowell, T. J., Codrescu, M. V., Roble, R. G., and Richmond, A. D.: How does the thermosphere and ionosphere react to a geomagnetic storm?, in: Magnetic Storms, edited by: Tsurutani, B. T., Gonzales, W. D., Kamide, Y., and Arballo, J. K., Geophysical Monograph 98, American Geophysical Union, Washington, D.C., 1997. Hanbaba, R.: Improved quality of services ionospheric telecommunication systems planning and operation, Cost Action 251, Final Report, Published by Space Research Centre, Warsaw, Poland, 1999. Hocke, K. and Schlegel, K.: A review of atmospheric gravity waves and travelling ionospheric disturbances: 1982–1995, Ann. Geophys., 14, 917–940, 1996, http://www.ann-geophys.net/14/917/1996/. International Telecommunication Union (ITU): ITU-R reference ionospheric characteristics and methods for basic MUF, operational MUF and ray-paths predictions, Recommendation ITU-R P. 1239, Geneva, 1997. IPS-Radio and Space Services: ASAPS Introductory Booklet, available for download at http://www.ips.gov.au/Products and Services/1/1/2., undated, last accessed March 2006. Jones, W. B. and Gallet, R. M.: Representation of diurnal and geographical variation of ionospheric data by numerical methods, Telecommun. J., 29, 129–149, 1962. Joselyn, J. A.: Geomagnetic activity forecasting; the state of the art, Rev. Geophys., 33, 383–401, 1995. Kouris, S. S. and Fotiadis, D. N.: Ionospheric variability: a comparative statistical study, Adv. Space Res., 29, 977–985, 2002. Kozin, I. D., Kozin, V. I., and Fedulina, I. N.: On a choice of the ionospheric disturbance indices, Geomagn. Aeron., 35(1), 111– 112, 1995. Mendillo, M.: A study of the relationship between geomagnetic storms and ionospheric disturbances at mid-latitudes, Planet. Space Sci., 21, 349–358, 1973. Muhtarov, P. and Kutiev, I.: Autocorrelation method for temporal interpolation and short-term prediction of ionospheric data, Radio Sci., 34(2), 459–464, 1999. Oyeyemi, E. O., Poole, A. W. V., and McKinnell, L. A.: On the global short-term forecasting of the ionospheric critical frequency foF2 up to 5 hours in advance using neural networks, Radio Sci., 40(6), RS6012, doi:10.1029/2004RS003239, 2005. Perrone, L., De Franceschi, G., and Gulyaeva, T. L.: The timeweighted magnetic indices ap( ), PC( ), AE( ) and their correlation to the southern high latitude ionosphere, Phys. Chem. Earth (C), 26(5), 331–334, 2001. Pietrella, M., Bianchi. C., and Scotto, C.: Electronic density contours and gravity waves, Il Nuovo Cimento, 20 C(4), 609–612, 1997. Pietrella, M. and Perrone, L.: Istantaneous Space Weighted Ionospheric Regional Model for instantaneous mapping of the critical frequency of the F2 layer in the European region, Radio Sci., 40(1), RS1005, doi:10.1029/2003RS003008, 2005. Pr¨olss, G. W.: Ionospheric F region storms, in: Handbook of atmospheric electrodynamics, 2, edited by: Volland, H., CRC Press, Boca Raton, 195–248, 1995. Pr¨olss, G.W.: Magnetic storm associated perturbations of the upper atmosphere, in: Magnetic Storms, Geophysical Monograph 98, edited by: Tsurutani, B. T., Gonzales, W. D., Kamide, Y., and Arballo, J. K., American Geophysical Union ,Washington, D.C., 1997. Richmond, A. D. and Matsushita, S.: Thermospheric response to a magnetic substorm, J. Geophys. Res., 80, 2839–2850, 1975. Rishbeth, H., Fuller-Rowell, T. J., and Rees, D.: Diffusive equilibrium and vertical motion in the thermosphere during a severe magnetic storm: a computational study, Planet. Space Sci., 35, 1157–1165, 1987. Roble, R. G., Richmond, A. D., Oliver, W. L., and Harper, R. M.: Ionospheric effects of the gravity wave launched by the September 18, 1974, Sudden Commencement, J. Geophys. Res., 83, 999–1009, 1978. Stewart, F. G.: ICEPAC-Technical Manual, available for download at http://www.greg-hand.com/manuals/icepac tech manual. pdf, undated. Testud, J.: Gravity waves generated during magnetic substorm, J. Atmos. Terr. Sci., 32, 1793–1805, 1970. Titheridge, J. E.: Non periodic irregularities in the ionosphere, J. Geophys. Res., 76, 6955–6960, 1971. Thomson, A.W. P., Clark, T. D. G., and Kerridge, D. J.: Forecasting ap in the short-term using time series analysis, in Proceedings of the 1992 Solar-Terr. Predictions Workshop, 3, 269, 1993. Thomson, A. W. P.: Neural networks and non-linear prediction of geomagnetic activity, in: Proceedings of the 1993 International Workshop on Artificial Intelligence Applications in Solar Terrestrial Physics, 133, 1993. Wrenn, G. L.: Time-Weighted accumulations ap( ) and Kp( ), J. Geophys. Res., 92, 10 125–10 129, 1987. Wrenn, G. L., Rodger, A. S., and Rishbeth, H.: Geomagnetic storms in Antarctic F region.. I. Diurnal and seasonal patterns in main phase effects, J. Atmos. Terr. Phys., 49, 901–913, 1987. Wrenn, G. L. and Rodger, A. S.: Geomagnetic modification of the mid-latitude ionosphere: toward a strategy for the improved forecasting of foF2, Radio Sci., 24(1), 99–111, 1989. Zolesi, B. and Cander, Lj. R.: Advances in regional ionospheric mapping over Europe, Ann. Geofis., 41(5–6), 827–842, 1998. Zolesi, B., Belehaki, A., Tsagouri, I., and Cander, Lj. R.: Real-time updating of the Simplified Ionospheric Regional Model for operational applications, Radio Sci., 39(2), RS2011, doi:10.1029/2003RS002936, 2004. Zolesi, B., Fontana, G., Perrone, L., et al.: A new campaign for oblique-incidence ionospheric sounding over Europe and its data application, J. Atmos. Solar Terr. Phys., in press, 2007.en
dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico3.9. Fisica della magnetosfera, ionosfera e meteorologia spazialeen
dc.description.journalTypeJCR Journalen
dc.description.fulltextreserveden
dc.contributor.authorPietrella, M.en
dc.contributor.authorPerrone, L.en
dc.contributor.departmentIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Roma2, Roma, Italiaen
dc.contributor.departmentIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Roma2, Roma, Italiaen
item.openairetypearticle-
item.cerifentitytypePublications-
item.languageiso639-1en-
item.grantfulltextrestricted-
item.openairecristypehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf-
item.fulltextWith Fulltext-
crisitem.author.deptIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Roma2, Roma, Italia-
crisitem.author.deptIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Roma2, Roma, Italia-
crisitem.author.orcid0000-0001-9069-4090-
crisitem.author.orcid0000-0003-4335-0345-
crisitem.author.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
crisitem.author.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
crisitem.classification.parent01. Atmosphere-
crisitem.department.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
crisitem.department.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
Appears in Collections:Article published / in press
Files in This Item:
File Description SizeFormat Existing users please Login
angeo-26-323-2008.pdf889.04 kBAdobe PDF
Show simple item record

Page view(s)

160
checked on Apr 24, 2024

Download(s)

21
checked on Apr 24, 2024

Google ScholarTM

Check