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Global Volume Distribution for Subaerial Volcanism on Earth
Language
English
Obiettivo Specifico
5V. Processi eruttivi e post-eruttivi
Status
Published
JCR Journal
JCR Journal
Peer review journal
Yes
Title of the book
Issue/vol(year)
/126 (2021)
Publisher
Wiley-AGU
Pages (printed)
e2021JB021763
Issued date
May 17, 2021
Abstract
Knowledge of the global distribution of Earth volcanism is critical in many fields of the Geosciences involving large-scale assessments, such as plate tectonics, global volcanic hazards, and climate change. Recent analysis has revealed that global eruption inter-event times are exponentially distributed, implying that on the global scale volcanic eruptions are Poisson distributed. Here, we employ those findings to calibrate a continuous frequency-volume distribution for subaerial eruptions of any size on Earth from small lava flows to super-eruptions. Obtaining such a continuous global distribution implies considering the existing data and the way they are collected and categorized into databases, as well as extending the available eruption volume data to eruption VEI classes less than 4. The continuous global distribution shows an initial log-normal section up to volumes of about 170 Mm3, followed by a power-law section, tapered on its extreme right-end side, encompassing about five orders of magnitude of eruption volumes. The potential implications are discussed in terms of short-term eruption forecasts of the size of an impending eruption, critical for volcanic emergency management.
Type
article
File(s)
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Name
paper_solid_earth.pdf
Description
Open Access published article
Size
2.25 MB
Format
Adobe PDF
Checksum (MD5)
351b8702e526e44cc06dfc87c6ce4c14