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Volcanic threats to global society
Language
English
Obiettivo Specifico
Status
Published
JCR Journal
JCR Journal
Peer review journal
Yes
Title of the book
Issue/vol(year)
6433 / 363 (2019)
Pages (printed)
1275-1276
Issued date
March 22, 2019
Abstract
The global society is under the threat of a volcanic super-eruption, with consequences that may undermine the same fabric of civilization. Recent discover that volcanic eruptions at the global scale distribute as Poisson events, and determination of the rate parameters associated to any eruption scale, allow us to compute the probability of occurrence of volcanic eruptions of any size over any time window. The yearly probability of a volcanic super-eruptions is about ten times higher that the maximum allowed probability for core melting at nuclear reactors, and ten times higher that the probability of impact with a large celestial body. Still, no resilience plans for globally impacting cataclysmic super-eruptions have been produced yet.
Type
article
File(s)
No Thumbnail Available
Name
Papale&Marzocchi_Science2019.pdf
Size
715.2 KB
Format
Adobe PDF
Checksum (MD5)
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