Space–time correlation of earthquakes
Author(s)
Language
English
Obiettivo Specifico
3.1. Fisica dei terremoti
Status
Published
JCR Journal
JCR Journal
Peer review journal
Yes
Issue/vol(year)
3 / 173 (2008)
Publisher
Blackwell Publishing
Pages (printed)
932-941
Date Issued
June 2008
Alternative Location
Subjects
Abstract
Seismicity is a complex process featuring non-trivial space–time correlations in which several forms of scale invariance have been identified. A frequently used method to detect scale-invariant features is the correlation integral, which leads to the definition of a correlation dimension separately in space and time. In this paper, we generalize this method with the definition of a space–time combined correlation integral. This approach allows us to analyse medium-strong seismicity as a point process, without any distinction among main, after or background shocks. The analyses performed on the catalogue of worldwide seismicity and the corresponding reshuffled version strongly suggest that earthquakes of medium-large magnitude are time clustered inside specific space–time regions. On the basis of this feature, we recognize a space–time domain statistically characterized by sequences' behaviour and a domain of temporal randomness. Then, focusing on the spatial distribution of hypocentres, we find another domain confined to short distances and characterized by a relatively high degree of spatial correlation. This spatial domain slowly increases with time: we interpret this as the ‘afterevent’ zone representing the set of all subsequent events located very near (about 30 km) to each reference earthquake and embedded on specific seismogenic structures such as faults planes.
References
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J. geophys. Res., 94, 15 635–15 637.
Ben-Mizrachi, A., Procaccia, I.&Grassberger, P., 1984. The characterization
of experimental (noisy) strange attractors, Phys. Rev. A, 29, 975–977.
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dynamically triggered regional seismicity: earthquakes in Greece following
the August, 1999 Izmit, Turkey earthquake, Geophys. Res. Lett. 27,
2741–2744.
De Rubeis, V., Dimitriu, P., Papadimitriu, E. & Tosi, P., 1993. Recurrent
patterns in the spatial behaviour of Italian seismicity revealed by the fractal
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De Rubeis, V., Tosi, P. & Vinciguerra, S., 1997. Time clustering properties
of seismicity in the Etna region between 1874 and 1913, Geophys. Res.
Lett., 24, 2331–2334.
Dimitriu, P.P., Scordilis, E.M.&Karacostas,V.G., 2000. Multifractal analysis
of the Arnea, Greece seismicity with potential implications for earthquake
prediction, Nat. Hazards, 21, 277–295.
Gasperini, P. & Mulargia, F., 1989. A statistical analysis of seismicity in
Italy: the clustering properties, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 79, 973–988.
Godano, C. & Caruso, V., 1995. Multifractal analysis of earthquake catalogues,
Geophys. J. Int., 121, 385–392.
Godano, C. & Pingue, F., 2005. Multiscaling in earthquakes diffusion, Geophys.
Res. Lett., 32, L18302.
Godano, C., Tosi, P., De Rubeis, V. & Augliera, P., 1999. Scaling properties
of the spatio-temporal distribution of earthquakes: a multifractal approach
applied to a Californian catalogue, Geophys. J. Int., 136, 99–108.
Grassberger, P. & Procaccia, I., 1983. Measuring the strangeness of strange
attractors. Physica D, 9, 189–208.
Helmstetter, A., Ouillon, G. & Sornette, D., 2003. Are aftershocks of large
Californian earthquakes diffusing? J. geophys. Res., 108, 2483–2506.
Hill, D.P. et al., 1993. Seismicity remotely triggered by the magnitude 7.3
Landers, California, earthquake, Science, 260, 1617–1623.
Hirabayashi, T., Ito, K. & Yoshii, T., 1992. Multifractal analysis of Earthquakes,
Pure appl. Geophys., 138, 591–610.
Hirata, T. & Imoto, M., 1991. Multi-fractal analysis of spatial distribution
of microearthquakes in the Kanto Region, Geophys. J. Int., 107, 155–
162.
Hohenberg, P.C. & Halperin, B. I., 1977. Theory of dynamic critical phenomena,
Rev. Mod. Phys., 49, 435–479.
Huc, M. & Main, I.G., 2003. Anomalous stress diffusion in earthquake triggering:
correlation length, time dependence, and directionality, J. geophys.
Res., 108, 2324–2335.
Husen, S., Wiemer, S. & Smith, R.B., 2004. Remotely triggered seismicity
in the Yellowstone National Park region by the 2002 Mw 7.9 Denali Fault
earthquake, Alaska, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 94(6B), 317–331.
Kagan, Y. Y. & Knopoff, L., 1980. Spatial distribution of earthquakes: the
twopoint correlation function, Geophys. J. R. astr. Soc., 62, 303–320.
Kantz, H.&Schreiber, T., 1997. Nonlinear Time Series Analysis, Cambridge
University Press, Cambridge.
King, G.C.P., Stein, R.S. & Lin, J., 1994. Static stress changes and the triggering
of earthquakes, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 84, 935–953.
Lomnitz, C., 1996. Search of a worldwide catalog for earthquakes triggered
at intermediate distances, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 86, 293–298.
Marsan, D. & Bean, C., 2003. Seismicity response to stress perturbations,
analysed for a world-wide catalogue, Geophys. J. Int., 154, 179–195.
Marsan, D., Bean, C.J., Steacy, S. & McCloskey, J., 1999. Spatio-temporal
analysis of stress diffusion in a mined-induced seismicity system, Geophys.
Res. Lett., 26, 3697–3700.
Marsan, D., Bean, C.J., Steacy, S. & McCloskey, J., 2000. Observation of
diffusion processes in earthquake populations and implications for the
predictability of seismicity systems, J. geophys. Res., 105, 28 081–28
094.
Marzocchi,W., Selva, J., Piersanti, A. & Boschi, E., 2003. On the long-term
interaction among earthquakes: some insight from a model simulation, J.
geophys. Res., 108, 2538–2550.
McKernon, C. & Main, I.G., 2005. Regional variations in the diffusion of
triggered seismicity, J. geophys. Res., 110, B05S05.
Melini, D., Casarotti, E., Piersanti, A. & Boschi, E., 2002. New insights on
long distance fault interaction, Earth planet. Sci. Lett., 204, 363–372.
Ogata, Y., 1988. Statistical models for earthquake occurrence and residual
analysis for point processes, J. Am. Stat. Assoc., 83, 9–27.
Reasenberg, P.A., 1999. Foreshock occurrence before large earthquakes, J.
geophys. Res., 104, 4755–4768.
Smalley, R.F. Jr., Chatelain, J.L., Turcotte, D.L.&Pr´evot, R., 1987. A fractal
approach to the clustering of earthquakes: applications to the seismicity
of the New Hebrides, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 77, 1368–1381.
Stein, R. S., 1999. The role of stress transfer in earthquake occurrence,
Nature, 402, 605–609.
Stein, R. S., King, G.C.P. & Lin, J., 1994. Stress triggering of the 1994 M = 6.7 Northridge, California, earthquake by its predecessors, Science, 265,
1432–1435.
Tajima, F.&Kanamori, H., 1985. Global survey of aftershock area expansion
patterns, Phys. Earth planet. Inter., 40, 77–134.
Tosi, P., 1998. Seismogenic structure behavior revealed by spatial clustering
of seismicity in the Umbria-Marche region (Central Italy), Annali di
Geofisica, 41, 215–224.
Tosi P.,De RubeisV., Loreto,V.&Pietronero, L., 2004. Space-time combined
correlation integral and earthquake interactions, Ann. Geophys., 47, 1849–
1854.
Utsu, T., Ogata, Y., & Matsu’ura, S., 1995. The centenary of the Omori
formula for a decay law of aftershock activity, J. Phys. Earth, 43, 1–33.
Ziv, A., 2006. What controls the spatial distribution of remote aftershocks?
Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 96(6) 2231–2241.
J. geophys. Res., 94, 15 635–15 637.
Ben-Mizrachi, A., Procaccia, I.&Grassberger, P., 1984. The characterization
of experimental (noisy) strange attractors, Phys. Rev. A, 29, 975–977.
Brodsky, E. E., Karakostas, V. & Kanamori, H., 2000. A new observation of
dynamically triggered regional seismicity: earthquakes in Greece following
the August, 1999 Izmit, Turkey earthquake, Geophys. Res. Lett. 27,
2741–2744.
De Rubeis, V., Dimitriu, P., Papadimitriu, E. & Tosi, P., 1993. Recurrent
patterns in the spatial behaviour of Italian seismicity revealed by the fractal
approach, Geophys. Res. Lett., 20, 1911–1914.
De Rubeis, V., Tosi, P. & Vinciguerra, S., 1997. Time clustering properties
of seismicity in the Etna region between 1874 and 1913, Geophys. Res.
Lett., 24, 2331–2334.
Dimitriu, P.P., Scordilis, E.M.&Karacostas,V.G., 2000. Multifractal analysis
of the Arnea, Greece seismicity with potential implications for earthquake
prediction, Nat. Hazards, 21, 277–295.
Gasperini, P. & Mulargia, F., 1989. A statistical analysis of seismicity in
Italy: the clustering properties, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 79, 973–988.
Godano, C. & Caruso, V., 1995. Multifractal analysis of earthquake catalogues,
Geophys. J. Int., 121, 385–392.
Godano, C. & Pingue, F., 2005. Multiscaling in earthquakes diffusion, Geophys.
Res. Lett., 32, L18302.
Godano, C., Tosi, P., De Rubeis, V. & Augliera, P., 1999. Scaling properties
of the spatio-temporal distribution of earthquakes: a multifractal approach
applied to a Californian catalogue, Geophys. J. Int., 136, 99–108.
Grassberger, P. & Procaccia, I., 1983. Measuring the strangeness of strange
attractors. Physica D, 9, 189–208.
Helmstetter, A., Ouillon, G. & Sornette, D., 2003. Are aftershocks of large
Californian earthquakes diffusing? J. geophys. Res., 108, 2483–2506.
Hill, D.P. et al., 1993. Seismicity remotely triggered by the magnitude 7.3
Landers, California, earthquake, Science, 260, 1617–1623.
Hirabayashi, T., Ito, K. & Yoshii, T., 1992. Multifractal analysis of Earthquakes,
Pure appl. Geophys., 138, 591–610.
Hirata, T. & Imoto, M., 1991. Multi-fractal analysis of spatial distribution
of microearthquakes in the Kanto Region, Geophys. J. Int., 107, 155–
162.
Hohenberg, P.C. & Halperin, B. I., 1977. Theory of dynamic critical phenomena,
Rev. Mod. Phys., 49, 435–479.
Huc, M. & Main, I.G., 2003. Anomalous stress diffusion in earthquake triggering:
correlation length, time dependence, and directionality, J. geophys.
Res., 108, 2324–2335.
Husen, S., Wiemer, S. & Smith, R.B., 2004. Remotely triggered seismicity
in the Yellowstone National Park region by the 2002 Mw 7.9 Denali Fault
earthquake, Alaska, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 94(6B), 317–331.
Kagan, Y. Y. & Knopoff, L., 1980. Spatial distribution of earthquakes: the
twopoint correlation function, Geophys. J. R. astr. Soc., 62, 303–320.
Kantz, H.&Schreiber, T., 1997. Nonlinear Time Series Analysis, Cambridge
University Press, Cambridge.
King, G.C.P., Stein, R.S. & Lin, J., 1994. Static stress changes and the triggering
of earthquakes, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 84, 935–953.
Lomnitz, C., 1996. Search of a worldwide catalog for earthquakes triggered
at intermediate distances, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 86, 293–298.
Marsan, D. & Bean, C., 2003. Seismicity response to stress perturbations,
analysed for a world-wide catalogue, Geophys. J. Int., 154, 179–195.
Marsan, D., Bean, C.J., Steacy, S. & McCloskey, J., 1999. Spatio-temporal
analysis of stress diffusion in a mined-induced seismicity system, Geophys.
Res. Lett., 26, 3697–3700.
Marsan, D., Bean, C.J., Steacy, S. & McCloskey, J., 2000. Observation of
diffusion processes in earthquake populations and implications for the
predictability of seismicity systems, J. geophys. Res., 105, 28 081–28
094.
Marzocchi,W., Selva, J., Piersanti, A. & Boschi, E., 2003. On the long-term
interaction among earthquakes: some insight from a model simulation, J.
geophys. Res., 108, 2538–2550.
McKernon, C. & Main, I.G., 2005. Regional variations in the diffusion of
triggered seismicity, J. geophys. Res., 110, B05S05.
Melini, D., Casarotti, E., Piersanti, A. & Boschi, E., 2002. New insights on
long distance fault interaction, Earth planet. Sci. Lett., 204, 363–372.
Ogata, Y., 1988. Statistical models for earthquake occurrence and residual
analysis for point processes, J. Am. Stat. Assoc., 83, 9–27.
Reasenberg, P.A., 1999. Foreshock occurrence before large earthquakes, J.
geophys. Res., 104, 4755–4768.
Smalley, R.F. Jr., Chatelain, J.L., Turcotte, D.L.&Pr´evot, R., 1987. A fractal
approach to the clustering of earthquakes: applications to the seismicity
of the New Hebrides, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 77, 1368–1381.
Stein, R. S., 1999. The role of stress transfer in earthquake occurrence,
Nature, 402, 605–609.
Stein, R. S., King, G.C.P. & Lin, J., 1994. Stress triggering of the 1994 M = 6.7 Northridge, California, earthquake by its predecessors, Science, 265,
1432–1435.
Tajima, F.&Kanamori, H., 1985. Global survey of aftershock area expansion
patterns, Phys. Earth planet. Inter., 40, 77–134.
Tosi, P., 1998. Seismogenic structure behavior revealed by spatial clustering
of seismicity in the Umbria-Marche region (Central Italy), Annali di
Geofisica, 41, 215–224.
Tosi P.,De RubeisV., Loreto,V.&Pietronero, L., 2004. Space-time combined
correlation integral and earthquake interactions, Ann. Geophys., 47, 1849–
1854.
Utsu, T., Ogata, Y., & Matsu’ura, S., 1995. The centenary of the Omori
formula for a decay law of aftershock activity, J. Phys. Earth, 43, 1–33.
Ziv, A., 2006. What controls the spatial distribution of remote aftershocks?
Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 96(6) 2231–2241.
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