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  5. Detection of invisible and crucial events: from seismic fluctuations to the war against terrorism
 
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Detection of invisible and crucial events: from seismic fluctuations to the war against terrorism

Author(s)
Allegrini, P.  
Istituto di Linguistica Computazionale del Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Area della Ricerca di Pisa  
Fronzoni, L.  
Dipartimento di Fisica dell’Università di Pisa and NFM e Centro Interdipartimentale per lo Studio dei Sistemi Complessi  
Grigolini, P.  
Dipartimento di Fisica dell’Università di Pisa and NFM e Center for Nonlinear Science, University of North Texas e Istituto dei Processi Chimico Fisici del CNR Area della Ricerca di Pisa  
Latora, V.  
Università di Catania, Dipartimento di Fisica e Astronomia  
Mega, M. S.  
Università di Pisa and NFM, Dipartimento di Fisica  
Palatella, L.  
Università di Pisa and NFM, Dipartimento di Fisica  
Rapisarda, A.  
Università di Catania, Dipartimento di Fisica e Astronomia  
Vinciguerra, S.  
Università di Catania, Dipartimento di Fisica e Astronomia e Istituto di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Osservatorio Vesuviano  
Language
English
Status
Published
Peer review journal
Yes
Journal
Chaos Solitons & Fractals  
Issue/vol(year)
20
Publisher
Elsevier
Pages (printed)
77-85
Date Issued
2004
DOI
10.1016/S0960-0779(03)00430-2
Alternative Location
www.elsevier.com/locate/chaos
URI
https://www.earth-prints.org/handle/2122/633
Subjects
05. General::05.01. Computational geophysics::05.01.02. Cellular automata, fuzzy logic, genetic alghoritms, neural networks  
05. General::05.01. Computational geophysics::05.01.04. Statistical analysis  
Subjects

crucial events

against terrorism

Abstract
We argue that the recent discovery of the non-Poissonian statistics of the seismic main-shocks is a special case of a more general approach to the detection of the distribution of the time increments between one crucial but invisible event and the next. We make the conjecture that the proposed approach can be applied to the analysis of terrorist network with significant benefits for the Intelligence Community.
References
[1] Mega MS, Allegrini P, Grigolini P, Latora V, Palatella L, Rapisarda A, Vinciguerra S. Phys Rev Lett 2003;90(1 4):188501.
[2] Allegrini P, Grigolini P, Hamilton P, Palatella L, Raffaelli G. Phys Rev E 2002; 65:041926-1-5.
[3] Allegrini P, Balocchi R, Chillemi S, Grigolini P, Hamilton P, Maestri R, et al. Phys Rev E 2003;67:062901.[4] Grigolini P, Palatella L, Raffaelli G. Fractals 2001;9:439–49.
[5] Bedeaux D, Lakatos Lindenberg K, Shuler KE. J Math Phys 1971;12:2116.
[6] Allegrini P, Aquino G, Grigolini P, Palatella L, Rosa A. Phys. Rev. E, submitted.
[7] Shlien S, Toksoz MN. Bull Seism Soc Am 1970;60:1765.
[8] Gardner JK, Knopoff L. Bull Seism Soc Am 1974;64:1363.
[9] Gasperini P, Mulargia F. Bull Seism Soc Am 1989;79:973.
[10] Console R, Murru M. J Geophys Res 2001; 106:8699.
[11] Godano C, Caruso V. Geophys J Int 1995; 121:385.
[12] Omori F. J College Sci Imper Univ Tokyo 1895;7:111.
[13] Utsu T. Geophys Mag 1961;30:521.
[14] BakP, Christensen K, Danon L, Scanlon T. Phys Rev Lett 2002;88:178501.
[15] The catalog has been downloaded from the Southern California Earthquake Data Centre http://www.scecdc.scec.org/ftp/catalogs/ SCSN/.
[16] Turcotte DL, Schubert G. Geodynamics. Cambridge University Press; 2002.
[17] Hill DP et al. Science 1993;260:1617.
[18] Parsons T. J Geophys Res 2001;107:2199.
[19] Allegrini P, Grigolini P, Palatella L. Chaos, Solitons and Fractal. Proceedings of the October 2002 Denton Workshop.
[20] Latora V, Marchiori M. How the science of complex networks can help developing strategies against terrorism. Chaos, Solitons and Fractal. Proceedings of the October 2002 Denton Workshop.
[21] Elliott E, Kiel D. A complex systems approach for developing public policy toward terrorism: an agent-based approach. Chaos, Solitons and Fractal. Proceedings of the October 2002 Denton Workshop.
[22] Ignaccolo M, Grigolini P, Gross G. Towards the timely detection of toxicants. Chaos, Solitons and Fractal. Proceedings of the October 2002 Denton Workshop.
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