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Naveau, P.
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- PublicationOpen AccessProjections of global changes in precipitation extremes from CMIP5 models(2013)
; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ;Toreti, A.; Dept. of Geography, Climatology, Climate Dynamics and Climate Change, Justus-Liebig University of Giessen, ;Naveau, P.; IPSL-CNRS ;Zampieri, M.; CMCC ;Schindler, A.; Dept. of Geography, Climatology, Climate Dynamics and Climate Change, Justus-Liebig University of Giessen, ;Scoccimarro, E.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italia ;Xoplaki, E.; Dept. of Geography, Climatology, Climate Dynamics and Climate Change, Justus-Liebig University of Giessen, ;Dijkstra, H. A.; Dept. of Physics and Astronomy, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands. ;Gualdi, S.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italia ;Luterbacher, J.; Dept. of Geography, Climatology, Climate Dynamics and Climate Change, Justus-Liebig University of Giessen,; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; Precipitation extremes are expected to increase in a warming climate, thus it is essential to characterise their potential future changes. Here we evalu- ate eight high-resolution Global Climate Model simulations in the twenti- eth century and provide new evidence on projected global precipitation ex- tremes for the 21st century. A significant intensification of daily extremes for all seasons is projected for the mid and high latitudes of both hemispheres at the end of the present century. For the subtropics and tropics, the lack of reliable and consistent estimations found for both the historical and fu- ture simulations might be connected with model deficiencies in the repre- sentation of organised convective systems. Low inter-model variability and good agreement with high-resolution regional observations are found for the twentieth century winter over the Northern Hemisphere mid and high lat- itudes.245 404