Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://hdl.handle.net/2122/2081
DC Field | Value | Language |
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dc.contributor.authorall | Iervolino, I.; Dipartimento di Analisi e Progettazione Strutturale. Università di Napoli Federico II | en |
dc.contributor.authorall | Convertito, V.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione OV, Napoli, Italia | en |
dc.contributor.authorall | Giorgio, M.; Dipartimento di Ingegneria Aerospaziale e Meccanica. Seconda Università di Napoli | en |
dc.contributor.authorall | Manfredi, G.; Dipartimento di Analisi e Progettazione Strutturale. Università di Napoli Federico II | en |
dc.contributor.authorall | Zollo, A.; Dipartimento di Scienze Fisiche. Università degli Studi “Federico II” di Napoli | en |
dc.date.accessioned | 2007-04-10T15:15:48Z | en |
dc.date.available | 2007-04-10T15:15:48Z | en |
dc.date.issued | 2006-09-03 | en |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/2122/2081 | en |
dc.description.abstract | Earthquake Early Warning Systems (EEWS), based on real-time prediction of ground motion or structural response measures, may play a role in reducing vulnerability and/or exposition of buildings and lifelines. In fact, recently seismologists developed efficient methods for rapid estimation of event features by means of limited information of the P-waves. Then, when an event is occurring, probabilistic distributions of magnitude and source-to-site distance are available and the prediction of the ground motion at the site, conditioned to the seismic network measures, may be performed in analogy with the Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA). Consequently the structural performance may be obtained by the Probabilistic Seismic Demand Analysis (PSDA), and used for real-time risk management purposes. However, such prediction is performed in very uncertain conditions which have to be taken into proper account to limit false and missed alarms. In the present study, real-time risk analysis for early warning purposes is discussed. The magnitude estimation is performed via the Bayesian approach, while the earthquake localization is based on the Voronoi cells. To test the procedure it was applied, by simulation, to the EEWS under development in the Campanian region (southern Italy). The results lead to the conclusion that the PSHA, conditioned to the EEWS, correctly predicts the hazard at the site and that the false/missed alarm probabilities may be controlled by set up of an appropriate decisional rule and alarm threshold. | en |
dc.format.extent | 490011 bytes | en |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | en |
dc.language.iso | English | en |
dc.relation.ispartof | First European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology (a joint event of the 13th ECEE & 30th General Assembly of the ESC) | en |
dc.subject | Early warning | en |
dc.subject | Real-time analysis | en |
dc.subject | Bayesian approach | en |
dc.title | REAL-TIME HAZARD ANALYSIS FOR EARTHQUAKE EARLY WARNING | en |
dc.type | Conference paper | en |
dc.description.status | Published | en |
dc.subject.INGV | 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.11. Seismic risk | en |
dc.description.ConferenceLocation | Geneva, Switzerland. | en |
dc.description.fulltext | open | en |
dc.contributor.author | Iervolino, I. | en |
dc.contributor.author | Convertito, V. | en |
dc.contributor.author | Giorgio, M. | en |
dc.contributor.author | Manfredi, G. | en |
dc.contributor.author | Zollo, A. | en |
dc.contributor.department | Dipartimento di Analisi e Progettazione Strutturale. Università di Napoli Federico II | en |
dc.contributor.department | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione OV, Napoli, Italia | en |
dc.contributor.department | Dipartimento di Ingegneria Aerospaziale e Meccanica. Seconda Università di Napoli | en |
dc.contributor.department | Dipartimento di Analisi e Progettazione Strutturale. Università di Napoli Federico II | en |
dc.contributor.department | Dipartimento di Scienze Fisiche. Università degli Studi “Federico II” di Napoli | en |
item.openairetype | Conference paper | - |
item.cerifentitytype | Publications | - |
item.languageiso639-1 | en | - |
item.grantfulltext | open | - |
item.openairecristype | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf | - |
item.fulltext | With Fulltext | - |
crisitem.author.dept | Università degli Studi di Napoli Federico II | - |
crisitem.author.dept | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione OV, Napoli, Italia | - |
crisitem.author.dept | Università degli Studi di Napoli Federico II | - |
crisitem.author.dept | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione OV, Napoli, Italia | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0002-4076-2718 | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0002-7115-7502 | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0002-5348-5289 | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0002-4860-4511 | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0002-8191-9566 | - |
crisitem.author.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
crisitem.author.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
crisitem.classification.parent | 04. Solid Earth | - |
crisitem.department.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
Appears in Collections: | Conference materials |
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