Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
Authors: Marzocchi, W.* 
Lombardi, A.* 
Casarotti, E.* 
Title: The establishment of an operational earthquake forecasting system in Italy
Issue Date: 2014
Series/Report no.: 5/85 (2014)
DOI: 10.1785/0220130219
Keywords: Operational earthquake forecasting
ensemble modeling
Subject Classification04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.11. Seismic risk 
Abstract: On 6 April 2009, an Mw 6.2 earthquake struck beneath the city of L’Aquila, central Italy. The shock created significant damage and caused more than 300 deaths in the city and environs. The event followed a seismic sequence that started at the begin- ning of the year, with its largest shock of M w 4.2 occurring on 30 March. The 6 April earthquake became infamous worldwide because seven experts, who attended a Grandi Rischi Commis- sion meeting on 31 March, were convicted of failing to properly warn the public about the possibility of the mainshock and were sentenced to six years in jail. A second trial is in process. We do not wish to further discuss this important case here (in- stead see Marzocchi, 2012 and the website http://processoaquila; last accessed June 2014); however, it illustrates the importance of providing authoritative scientific information about earthquake probabilities to the public and other users and serves as a catalyst for the scientific developments now underway in Italy.
Appears in Collections:Papers Published / Papers in press

Files in This Item:
File Description SizeFormat 
SRL_Marzocchi_etal_2014.pdf1.02 MBAdobe PDFView/Open
Show full item record

Page view(s)

Last Week
Last month
checked on Jul 19, 2018


checked on Jul 19, 2018

Google ScholarTM