Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2122/902
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dc.contributor.authorallMucciarelli, M.; Dipartimento di Strutture, Geotecnica, Geologia Applicata all Ingegneria (DiSGG), Facoltà di Ingegneria, Università degli Studi della Basilicata, Potenza, Italyen
dc.date.accessioned2006-02-22T13:46:12Zen
dc.date.available2006-02-22T13:46:12Zen
dc.date.issued2005en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2122/902en
dc.description.abstractBoth in scientific literature and in the mass media, some earthquakes are defined as «surprise earthquakes». Based on his own judgment, probably any geologist, seismologist or engineer may have his own list of past «surprise earthquakes». This paper tries to quantify the underlying individual perception that may lead a scientist to apply such a definition to a seismic event. The meaning is different, depending on the disciplinary approach. For geologists, the Italian database of seismogenic sources is still too incomplete to allow for a quantitative estimate of the subjective degree of belief. For seismologists, quantification is possible defining the distance between an earthquake and its closest previous neighbor. Finally, for engineers, the San Giuliano quake could not be considered a surprise, since probabilistic site hazard estimates reveal that the change before and after the earthquake is just 4%.en
dc.format.extent835358 bytesen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.language.isoEnglishen
dc.publisher.nameINGVen
dc.relation.ispartofAnnals of Geophysicsen
dc.relation.ispartofseries2/48 (2005)en
dc.subjectearthquake statisticsen
dc.subjectMolise earthquakeen
dc.titleWhat is a surprise earthquake? The example of the 2002, San Giuliano (Italy) eventen
dc.typearticleen
dc.description.statusPublisheden
dc.type.QualityControlPeer-revieweden
dc.subject.INGV04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.04. Ground motionen
dc.description.journalTypeJCR Journalen
dc.description.fulltextopenen
dc.contributor.authorMucciarelli, M.en
dc.contributor.departmentDipartimento di Strutture, Geotecnica, Geologia Applicata all Ingegneria (DiSGG), Facoltà di Ingegneria, Università degli Studi della Basilicata, Potenza, Italyen
item.openairetypearticle-
item.languageiso639-1en-
item.cerifentitytypePublications-
item.fulltextWith Fulltext-
item.grantfulltextopen-
item.openairecristypehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf-
crisitem.classification.parent04. Solid Earth-
Appears in Collections:Annals of Geophysics
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