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Authors: Villarini, G.* 
Scoccimarro, E.* 
Gualdi, S.* 
Title: Projections of Heavy Rainfall over the Central US based on CMIP5 Models
Issue Date: 2013
Series/Report no.: /14 (2013)
DOI: 10.1002/asl2.440
Keywords: precipitation
extreme events
climate change
Subject Classification01. Atmosphere::01.01. Atmosphere::01.01.02. Climate 
Abstract: The central United States is a region for which observational studies have indicated an increase in heavy rainfall. This study uses projections of daily rainfall from 20 state-of-the-art global climate models and one scenario (RCP 8.5) to examine projected changes in extreme rainfall. Analyses are performed focusing on trends in the 90th and 99th percentiles of the daily rainfall distributions for two periods (2006-2045 and 2046-2085). The results of this study indicate a large increase in extreme rainfall in particular over the northern part of the study region, with a much less clear signal over the Great Plains and the states along the Gulf of Mexico.
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