Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2122/7335
DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorallDubois, C.; CNRM-GAMEen
dc.contributor.authorallSomot, S.; CNRM-GAMEen
dc.contributor.authorallCalmanti, S.; ENEAen
dc.contributor.authorallCarrillo, A.; ENEAen
dc.contributor.authorallDeque, M.; CNRM-GAMEen
dc.contributor.authorallDell'aquila, A.; ENEAen
dc.contributor.authorallElizade, A.; MPIen
dc.contributor.authorallGualdi, S.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italiaen
dc.contributor.authorallJacob, D.; MPIen
dc.contributor.authorallL’He ́ve ́der, B.; Laboratoire de Me ́te ́orologie Dynamique, Paris, Franceen
dc.contributor.authorallLi, L.; Laboratoire de Me ́te ́orologie Dynamique, Paris, Franceen
dc.contributor.authorallSannino, G.; ENEAen
dc.contributor.authorallScoccimarro, E.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italiaen
dc.contributor.authorallSevault, F.; CNR-GAMEen
dc.date.accessioned2012-01-17T11:11:57Zen
dc.date.available2012-01-17T11:11:57Zen
dc.date.issued2012en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2122/7335en
dc.description.abstractWithin the CIRCE project ‘‘Climate change and Impact Research: the Mediterranean Environment’’, an ensemble of high resolution coupled atmosphere–ocean regional climate models (AORCMs) are used to simulate the Mediterranean climate for the period 1950–2050. For the first time, realistic net surface air-sea fluxes are obtained. The sea surface temperature (SST) variability is consistent with the atmospheric forcing above it and oce- anic constraints. The surface fluxes respond to external forcing under a warming climate and show an equivalent trend in all models. This study focuses on the present day and on the evolution of the heat and water budget over the Mediterranean Sea under the SRES-A1B scenario. On the contrary to previous studies, the net total heat budget is negative over the present period in all AORCMs and sat- isfies the heat closure budget controlled by a net positive heat gain at the strait of Gibraltar in the present climate. Under climate change scenario, some models predict a warming of the Mediterranean Sea from the ocean surface (positive net heat flux) in addition to the positive flux at the strait of Gibraltar for the 2021–2050 period. The shortwave and latent flux are increasing and the longwave and sen- sible fluxes are decreasing compared to the 1961–1990 period due to a reduction of the cloud cover and an increase in greenhouse gases (GHGs) and SSTs over the 2021–2050 period. The AORCMs provide a good estimates of the water budget with a drying of the region during the twenty- first century. For the ensemble mean, he decrease in pre- cipitation and runoff is about 10 and 15% respectively and the increase in evaporation is much weaker, about 2% compared to the 1961–1990 period which confirm results obtained in recent studies. Despite a clear consistency in the trends and results between the models, this study also underlines important differences in the model set-ups, methodology and choices of some physical parameters inducing some difference in the various air-sea fluxes. An evaluation of the uncertainty sources and possible improvement for future generation of AORCMs highlights the importance of the parameterisation of the ocean albedo, rivers and cloud cover.en
dc.language.isoEnglishen
dc.publisher.nameSpringer Verlag GMBH Germanyen
dc.relation.ispartofClimate dynamicsen
dc.relation.ispartofseries/39(2012)en
dc.subjectMediterranean Seaen
dc.subjectscenariosen
dc.subjectcoupled regional climate modelsen
dc.subjectcirceen
dc.titleFuture projections of the surface heat and water budgets of the Mediterranean Sea in an ensemble of coupled atmosphere–ocean regional climate modelsen
dc.typearticleen
dc.description.statusPublisheden
dc.type.QualityControlPeer-revieweden
dc.description.pagenumber1859–1884en
dc.subject.INGV01. Atmosphere::01.01. Atmosphere::01.01.02. Climateen
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s00382-011-1261-4en
dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico3.7. Dinamica del clima e dell'oceanoen
dc.description.journalTypeJCR Journalen
dc.description.fulltextreserveden
dc.relation.issn0930-7575en
dc.relation.eissn1432-0894en
dc.contributor.authorDubois, C.en
dc.contributor.authorSomot, S.en
dc.contributor.authorCalmanti, S.en
dc.contributor.authorCarrillo, A.en
dc.contributor.authorDeque, M.en
dc.contributor.authorDell'aquila, A.en
dc.contributor.authorElizade, A.en
dc.contributor.authorGualdi, S.en
dc.contributor.authorJacob, D.en
dc.contributor.authorL’He ́ve ́der, B.en
dc.contributor.authorLi, L.en
dc.contributor.authorSannino, G.en
dc.contributor.authorScoccimarro, E.en
dc.contributor.authorSevault, F.en
dc.contributor.departmentCNRM-GAMEen
dc.contributor.departmentCNRM-GAMEen
dc.contributor.departmentENEAen
dc.contributor.departmentENEAen
dc.contributor.departmentCNRM-GAMEen
dc.contributor.departmentENEAen
dc.contributor.departmentMPIen
dc.contributor.departmentIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italiaen
dc.contributor.departmentMPIen
dc.contributor.departmentLaboratoire de Me ́te ́orologie Dynamique, Paris, Franceen
dc.contributor.departmentLaboratoire de Me ́te ́orologie Dynamique, Paris, Franceen
dc.contributor.departmentENEAen
dc.contributor.departmentIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italiaen
dc.contributor.departmentCNR-GAMEen
item.openairetypearticle-
item.fulltextWith Fulltext-
item.cerifentitytypePublications-
item.openairecristypehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf-
item.grantfulltextrestricted-
item.languageiso639-1en-
crisitem.author.deptCNRM-GAME-
crisitem.author.deptCNRM-GAME-
crisitem.author.deptENEA-
crisitem.author.deptENEA-
crisitem.author.deptCNRM-GAME-
crisitem.author.deptENEA-
crisitem.author.deptMPI-
crisitem.author.deptIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italia-
crisitem.author.deptMPI-
crisitem.author.deptLaboratoire de Me ́te ́orologie Dynamique, Paris, France-
crisitem.author.deptLaboratoire de Me ́te ́orologie Dynamique, Paris, France-
crisitem.author.deptENEA-
crisitem.author.deptIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italia-
crisitem.author.deptCNR-GAME-
crisitem.author.orcid0000-0001-7777-8935-
crisitem.author.orcid0000-0001-7987-4744-
crisitem.author.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
crisitem.author.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
crisitem.classification.parent01. Atmosphere-
Appears in Collections:Article published / in press
Files in This Item:
File Description SizeFormat Existing users please Login
dubois_clim_dyn_2011.pdfmain article1.88 MBAdobe PDF
Show simple item record

WEB OF SCIENCETM
Citations

56
Last Week
0
Last month
checked on Oct 13, 2020

Page view(s) 50

131
Last Week
0
Last month
1
checked on Oct 20, 2020

Download(s)

27
checked on Oct 20, 2020

Google ScholarTM

Check

Altmetric