Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2122/5753
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dc.contributor.authorallAlbarello, D.; Dip. Scienze della Terra, Università di Sienaen
dc.contributor.authorallD'Amico, V.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Milano-Pavia, Milano, Italiaen
dc.date.accessioned2010-01-21T16:43:45Zen
dc.date.available2010-01-21T16:43:45Zen
dc.date.issued2009-04en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2122/5753en
dc.description.sponsorshipUniversità di Siena, INGV-Milanoen
dc.language.isoEnglishen
dc.relation.ispartofseriesD6.2en
dc.subjectPSHAen
dc.subjectvalidationen
dc.titleGuidebook for SH model validation. Progetto INGV-DPC S2, Deliverable 6.2en
dc.typereporten
dc.description.statusPublisheden
dc.type.QualityControlUnreferreden
dc.identifier.URLhttp://nuovoprogettoesse2.stru.polimi.it/Deliverables.htmlen
dc.subject.INGV04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.11. Seismic risken
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Mucciarelli, and M. Stucchi, 1999. The seismic history of Catania, J. Seism. 3, 235–252. Azzaro R., Barbano M.S., D'Amico S., Tuvè T., Albarello D., and D'Amico V., 2008. Preliminary results of Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment in the volcanic region of Mt. Etna (Southern Italy). Boll. Geofis. Teor. Appl., 49, 1, 77-91 Bender, B. and Perkins, D.M., 1987. SEISRISK III: a computer program for seismic hazard estimation. USGS Bulletin 1772, 48 pp Brier G.W., 1950. Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability. Mon. Wea. Rev., 78, 1, 1-3 Brune, J.N., 1996. Precariously balanced rocks and ground motion maps for Southern California, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 86, 43-54. Budnitz, R.J., Apostolakis, G., Boore, D.M., Cluff, L.S., Coppersmith, K.J., Cornell, C.A. and Morris, P.A., 1997. Recommendations for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis: guidance on uncertainty and use of experts. NUREG/CR6372. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington, 256 pp. Coppersmith, K.J. and Youngs, R.R., 1986. Capturing uncertainty in probabilistic seismic hazard assessment within intraplate environments. Proc. 3rd Nat. Conf. on Earthquake Engineering, Vol.1, 301-312. D’Amico V. and Albarello D., 2003. Seismic hazard assessment from local macroseismic observation: comparison with a “standard” approach. Nat.Haz., 29, 77-95 D’Amico V., Albarello D., 2008. SASHA: a computer program to assess seismic hazard from intensity data. Seism.Res.Lett., 79, 5, 663-671 DelSole T, Tippett M.K., 2007. Predictability: recent insights from information theory. Rev. of Geophys., 45, RG4002, 22 pp. De Finetti B., 1974. Theory of probability. Wiley, New York Edwards, A.W.F., 1972. Likelihood. Cambridge Univ. Press, 235 pp. Faccioli, E., and C. Cauzzi (2006). Macroseismic intensities for seismic scenarios estimated from instrumentally based correlations, in Proc. of the First European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, paper number 569. Faenza, L., Marzocchi, W. and Boschi, E., 2003. A non-parametric hazard model to characterize the spatio-temporal occurrence of large earthquakes: an application to the Italian seismic catalogue, Geophys. J. Int., 155, 521-531. Galea P., 2007. Seismic history of the Maltese islands and considerations on seismic risk. Ann. Geophys. 50, 6, 725-740 Gnedenko, B.V., 1976. The theory of probability. Mir publisher, Moscow, 392 pp. Grandori, G., 1993. A methodology for the falsification of local seismic hazard analysis, Ann. Geofis., 36, 191-197. Grandori, G., Guarenti, E. and Petrini, L., 2006. Earthquake catalogues and modelling strategies. A new testing procedure for the comparison between competing models, J. Seismology, 10, 259-269. Grandori, G., Guarenti, E. and Tagliani, A., 1998. A proposal for comparing the reliabilities of alternative seismic hazard models, J. Seismology, 2, 27-35. Guidoboni E. e Ferrari G., 1995, Historical cities and earthquakes: Florence during the last nine centuries and evaluation of seismic hazard, Ann. Geofis., XXXVIII, No. 5-6, 617-648, 1995 Jackson, D.D., 1996. Hypothesis testing and earthquake prediction. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. USA, vol. 93, 3772-3775. Johnstone D.J., 2007. The value of a probability forecast from portfolio theory. Theory and Decision, 63, 153-203 Kagan, Y.Y. and Jackson, D.D., 1994. Long-term probabilistic forecasting of earthquakes, J. Geophys. Res., 99, 13685-13700. Kagan Y.Y., 2009. Testing long-term earthquake forecasts: likelihood methods and error diagrams. Geophys.J.Int., doi.10.1111/j.1365-246X.2008.04064.x (early view) Klügel, J.-U., 2005. Problems in the application of the SSHAC probability method for assessing earthquake hazards at Swiss nuclear power plants, Eng. Geol., 78, 285–307. Krinitzky, E.L., 1993. Earthquake probability in engineering – part I: the use and misuse of expert opinion, Eng. Geol., 33, 257-288. Krinitzky, E.L., 1995. Deterministic versus probabilistic seismic hazard analysis for critical structures, Eng. Geol., 40, 1-7. Kulkarni R.B., Youngs R.R. and Coppersmith K.J., 1984. Assessment of the confidence intervals for results of seismic hazard analysis. Proceedings, 8th World Conference of Earthquake Engineering, San Francisco, Vol.1, 263-270. Lind, N.C., 1996. Validation of probabilistic models, Civ. Eng. Syst., 13, 175-183. Lipton P., 2005. Testing hypotheses: prediction and prejudice. Science, 307, 219-221 Magri L., Mucciarelli M. and Albarello D. (1994). Estimates of site seismicity rates using ill-defined macroseismic data, Pure Appl. Geoph., 143, 618-632. Margottini, C., Molin D. and Serva L. (1992). Intensity versus ground motion: A new approach using Italian data, Engineering Geology, 33, 1, 45-58. McGuire, R.K., 1979. Adequacy of simple probability models for calculating felt shaking hazard using the Chinese Earthquake Catalog, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 69, 877-892. McGuire, R.K. and Barnhard, T.P., 1981. Effects of temporal variations in seismicity on seismic hazard, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 71, 321-334. Mucciarelli M., Albarello D. and Stucchi M., 1996 - Sensitivity of seismic hazard estimates to the use of historical site data. V.P. Shenk (ed.) "Earthquake hazard and risk", Adv. in Nat. and Tech. Hazards, Kluwer, 141-152 Mucciarelli, M., Albarello, D. and D’Amico, V., 2006. Comparison between the Italian seismic hazard map (PRSTN04) and alternative PSHA estimates, Proc. First European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, paper number 595. Mucciarelli, M., Peruzza, L. and Caroli, P., 2000. Tuning of seismic hazard estimates by means of observed site intensities, J. Earthq. Eng., 4, 141-159. Mucciarelli M., Albarello D., D’Amico V., 2008. Comparison of Probabilistic Seismic Hazard estimates in Italy. Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., Vol. 98, No. 6, pp. 2652–2664, doi: 10.1785/0120080077 Musson, R.M.W., 2004. Objective validation of seismic hazard source models. Proc. 13th Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Vancouver, B.C., Canada, paper number 2492. Oreskes, N., Shrader-Frechette, K. and Belitz, K., 1994. Verification, Validation, and Confirmation of numerical models in the Earth Sciences, Science, 263, 641-646. Page, M.T. and Carlson, J.M., 2006. Methodologies for earthquake hazard assessment: model uncertainty and the WGCEP-2002 forecast, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 96, 1624-1633. Rabinowitz, N. and Steinberg, D.M., 1991. Seismic hazard sensitivity analysis: a multi-parameter approach, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 81, 796-817. Schorlemmer, D., Gerstenberger, M.C., 2007. RELM Testing Center, Seism. Res. Lett., Vol. 78, No. 1, 30-36. Schorlemmer D., Gerstenberger, M. C., Wiemer, S., Jackson, D.D., Rhoades, D.A., 2007. Earthquake Likelihood Model Testing, Seism. Res. Lett., Vol. 78, No. 1, 17-29. Senders F., 1966. The verification of probability forecasts. J. Appl. Meteor., 6, 756-761 Senior Seismic Hazard Analysis Committee – SSHAC, 1997. Recommendations for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis: guidance on uncertainties and use of experts. Report NUREG-CR-6372, in 2 volumes, Washington D.C., U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. Stirling, M. and Petersen, M., 2006. Comparison of the historical record of earthquake hazard with seismic hazard models for New Zealand and the Continental United States, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 96, 1978-1994. Stucchi, M., R. Camassi, A. Rovida, M. Locati, E. Ercolani, C. Meletti, P. Migliavacca, F. Bernardini, and R. Azzaro (2007). DBMI04, il database delle osservazioni macrosismiche dei terremoti italiani utilizzate per la compilazione del catalogo parametrico CPTI04, Quad. Geofis. 49, 1–38: also available at http://emidius.mi.ingv.it/DBMI04/. Winkler, R.L., 1996. Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities, Test, 5, 1-60.en
dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico4.2. TTC - Modelli per la stima della pericolosità sismica a scala nazionaleen
dc.description.fulltextreserveden
dc.contributor.authorAlbarello, D.en
dc.contributor.authorD'Amico, V.en
dc.contributor.departmentDip. Scienze della Terra, Università di Sienaen
dc.contributor.departmentIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Milano, Milano, Italiaen
item.openairetypereport-
item.cerifentitytypePublications-
item.languageiso639-1en-
item.grantfulltextrestricted-
item.openairecristypehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_93fc-
item.fulltextWith Fulltext-
crisitem.author.deptDipartimento di Scienze Fisiche, della Terra e dell’Ambiente, University of Siena-
crisitem.author.deptIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Pisa, Pisa, Italia-
crisitem.author.orcid0000-0002-9226-4681-
crisitem.author.orcid0000-0002-6133-6750-
crisitem.author.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
crisitem.classification.parent04. Solid Earth-
crisitem.department.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
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