Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://hdl.handle.net/2122/5185| DC Field | Value | Language |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.authorall | Faenza, L.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione CNT, Roma, Italia | en |
| dc.contributor.authorall | Hainzl, S.; GeoForschungsZentrum, Telegrafenberg, 14473 Potsdam, Germany | en |
| dc.contributor.authorall | Scherbaum, F.; Institute of Earth Sciences, University of Potsdam, Karl-Liebknecht Str. 24, 14476 Potsdam - Golm, Germany | en |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2009-09-28T12:52:44Z | en |
| dc.date.available | 2009-09-28T12:52:44Z | en |
| dc.date.issued | 2009-05-29 | en |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/2122/5185 | en |
| dc.description.abstract | The aim of this paper is to characterize the spatio-temporal distribution of Central-Europe seismicity. Specifically, by using a non-parametric statistical approach, the proportional hazard model, leading to an empirical estimation of the hazard function, we provide some constrains on the time behavior of earthquake generation mechanisms. The results indicate that the most conspic- uous characteristics of MW 4.0+ earthquakes is a temporal clustering lasting a couple of years. This suggests that the probability of occurrence increases immediately after a previous event. After a few years, the process becomes almost time independent. Furthermore, we investigate the cluster properties of the seismicity of Central-Europe, by comparing the obtained result with the one of synthetic catalogs generated by the epidemic type aftershock sequences (ETAS) model, which previously have been successfully applied for short term clustering. Our results indicate that the ETAS is not well suited to describe the seismicity as a whole, while it is able to capture the features of the short- term behaviour. Remarkably, similar results have been previously found for Italy using a higher magnitude threshold. | en |
| dc.language.iso | English | en |
| dc.publisher.name | Elsevier B.V. | en |
| dc.relation.ispartof | Tectonophysics | en |
| dc.relation.ispartofseries | 3-4/470 (2009) | en |
| dc.subject | Earthquake Distribution | en |
| dc.subject | Earthquake Forecast | en |
| dc.subject | Spatio-temporal statistical analysis | en |
| dc.subject | Cluester | en |
| dc.subject | Central Europe | en |
| dc.title | Statistical analysis of the Central-Europe seismicity | en |
| dc.type | article | en |
| dc.description.status | Published | en |
| dc.type.QualityControl | Peer-reviewed | en |
| dc.description.pagenumber | 195-204 | en |
| dc.subject.INGV | 05. General::05.01. Computational geophysics::05.01.04. Statistical analysis | en |
| dc.identifier.doi | 10.1016/j.tecto.2008.04.030 | en |
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A physically-based earthquake recurrence model for estimation of long-term earthquake probabilities. In: Proceedings of the second point meeting of the UJNR panel on earthquake research, pp. 135-149, Geographical Survey Institute. Faenza, L., Marzocchi, W., Boschi, E., 2003. A non-parametric hazard model to characterize the spatio-temporal occurrence of large earthquakes; an application to the Italian catalogue. Geophys. J. Int. 155, 2, 521-531. Faenza, L., Marzocchi, W., Lombardi, A.M., Console, R., 2004. Some insights into the time clustering of large earthquakes in Italy. Annals of Geophysics, 47, 5, 1635-1640. Faenza, L., 2005. Analysis of the spatio-temporal distribution of large earth- quakes, Ph.D. Thesis, Università degli Studi di Bologna, Alma Mater Studio- rum, Bologna, Italy. Published on Earth Print: http://hdl.handle.net /2122/3160 Faenza, L., Marzocchi, W., Serretti, P., Boschi, E., 2007. On the spatio- temporal distribution of M 7.0+ worldwide seismicity. 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Information theory to characterize the spatio-temporal patterns of seismicity in the Kanto region. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 92, 600-610. Reasenberg, P., 1985. Second-order moment of central California seismicity, 1969-1982. J. Geophys. Res., 90, 5479-5495. Schorlemmer, D., Gerstenberger, G.C., Wiemer, S., Jackson, D.D., 2007. Earth- quake likelihood model testing. Seismological Research Letters, 78, 1, 17-28. Selva J., Marzocchi, W., 2005. Variations of Southern California seismicity: empirical evidence and possible physical causes. J. Geophys. Res., 110, B11306, doi:10.1029/2004JB003494. Sornette, D., Knopoff, L., 1997. The paradox of the expected time until the next earthquakes. Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 87, 789-798. Stein, R.S., King, G.C.P., Lin, J., 1994. Stress triggering of the 1994 M=6.7 Northridge, California, earthquake by its predecessors. Science, 265, 1432- 1435. Trifu, C.I., Radulian, M., 1991. Frequency-magnitude distribution of earth- quakes in Vrancea: Relevance for a discrete model. J. Geophys. Res., 96(B3), 4301-4311, 10.1029/90JB02221. Vere-Jones, D, 1970. Stochastic models for earthquake occurrence (with dis- cussion). J.R.Stat.Soc., B31, 1-62. Vere-Jones, D, 1978. Earthquake prediction: a statistician’s view. J. Phys. Earth, 26, 129-146. Wells, D.L., Coppersmith, K.J., 1994. New Empirical Relationships among Magnitude, Rupture Length, Rupture Area, and Surface Displacement. Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 84, 974-1002. Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities, 2003. Earthquake Probabilities in the San Francisco Bay Region (U.S. Geologic Survey, Denver), USGS Open File Report 03-214. Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. & Vere-Jones D., 2002. Stochastic declustering of space- time earthquake occurrences, J. Am. Stat. Assoc., 97, 369-380. | en |
| dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico | 3.1. Fisica dei terremoti | en |
| dc.description.journalType | JCR Journal | en |
| dc.description.fulltext | reserved | en |
| dc.contributor.author | Faenza, L. | en |
| dc.contributor.author | Hainzl, S. | en |
| dc.contributor.author | Scherbaum, F. | en |
| dc.contributor.department | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione ONT, Roma, Italia | en |
| dc.contributor.department | GeoForschungsZentrum, Telegrafenberg, 14473 Potsdam, Germany | en |
| dc.contributor.department | Institute of Earth Sciences, University of Potsdam, Karl-Liebknecht Str. 24, 14476 Potsdam - Golm, Germany | en |
| item.openairetype | article | - |
| item.cerifentitytype | Publications | - |
| item.languageiso639-1 | en | - |
| item.grantfulltext | restricted | - |
| item.openairecristype | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf | - |
| item.fulltext | With Fulltext | - |
| crisitem.author.dept | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione ONT, Roma, Italia | - |
| crisitem.author.dept | DeutschelGeoForschungsZentrum | - |
| crisitem.author.dept | Inst. f. Geowissenschaften, Uni Potsdam | - |
| crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0002-6135-1141 | - |
| crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0002-2875-0933 | - |
| crisitem.author.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
| crisitem.classification.parent | 05. General | - |
| crisitem.department.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
| Appears in Collections: | Article published / in press | |
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| faenza_etal_2009_tecto.pdf | main article | 1.48 MB | Adobe PDF |
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