Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://hdl.handle.net/2122/4861| DC Field | Value | Language |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.authorall | Mignan, A.; Risk Management Solutions, London, UK. | en |
| dc.contributor.authorall | Di Giovambattista, R.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione CNT, Roma, Italia | en |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2008-12-16T18:31:36Z | en |
| dc.date.available | 2008-12-16T18:31:36Z | en |
| dc.date.issued | 2008-08-15 | en |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/2122/4861 | en |
| dc.description.abstract | The Non-Critical Precursory Accelerating Seismicity Theory (PAST) has been proposed recently to explain the formation of accelerating seismicity (increase of the a-value) observed before large earthquakes. In particular, it predicts that precursory accelerating seismicity should occur in the same spatiotemporal window as quiescence. In this first combined study we start by determining the spatiotemporal extent of quiescence observed prior to the 1997Mw= 6Umbria-Marche earthquake, Italy, using the RTL (Region-Time-Length) algorithm. We then show that background events located in that spatiotemporal window form a clear acceleration, as expected by the Non-Critical PAST. This result is a step forward in the understanding of precursory seismicity by relating two of the principal patterns that can precede large earthquakes. | en |
| dc.language.iso | English | en |
| dc.publisher.name | AGU | en |
| dc.relation.ispartof | Geophysical Research Letters | en |
| dc.relation.ispartofseries | /35(2008) | en |
| dc.subject | precursor, accelerating seismicity, quiescence, accelerating seismicity, simulation, RTL algorithm | en |
| dc.title | Relationship between accelerating seismicity and quiescence, two precursors to large earthquakes | en |
| dc.type | article | en |
| dc.description.status | Published | en |
| dc.type.QualityControl | Unreferred | en |
| dc.description.pagenumber | L15306 | en |
| dc.subject.INGV | 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.99. General or miscellaneous | en |
| dc.identifier.doi | 10.1029/2008GL035024 | en |
| dc.relation.references | Barba, S., R. Di Giovambattista, and G. Smriglio (1995), Italian seismic databank allows on-line access, Eos Trans. AGU, 76, 89. Ben-Zion, Y., and V. Lyakhovsky (2002), Accelerated seismic release and related aspects of seismicity patterns on earthquake faults, Pure Appl. Geophys., 159, 2385– 2412. Bowman, D. D., and C. G. Sammis (2004), Intermittent criticality and the Gutenberg-Richter distribution, Pure Appl. Geophys., 161, 1945– 1956. Bowman, D. D., G. Ouillon, C. G. Sammis, A. Sornette, and D. Sornette (1998), An observational test of the critical earthquake concept, J. Geophys. Res., 103, 24,359–24,372. Bufe, C. G., and D. J. Varnes (1993), Predictive modeling of the seismic cycle of the greater San Francisco Bat region, J. Geophys. Res., 98, 9871–9883. Console, R., C. Montuori, and M. Murru (2000), Statistical assessment of seismicity patterns in Italy: Are they precursors of subsequent events?, J. Seismol., 4, 435– 449. Di Giovambattista, R., and Y. S. Tyupkin (2000), Spatial and temporal distribution of seismicity before the Umbria-Marche September 26, 1997 earthquakes, J. Seismol., 2, 589– 598. Huang, Q. (2004), Seismicity pattern changes prior to large earthquakes— An approach of the RTL algorithm, Terr. Atmos. Oceanic Sci., 15, 469– 491. Huang, Q. (2006), Search for reliable precursors: A case study of the seismic quiescence of the 2000 western Tottori prefecture earthquake, J. Geophys. Res., 111, B04301, doi:10.1029/2005JB003982. Huang, Q., A. O. Oncel, and G. A. Sobolev (2002), Precursory seismicity changes associated with the Mw = 7.4 1999 August 17 Izmit (Turkey) earthquake, Geophys. J. Int., 151, 235– 242. Jaume´, S. C., and L. R. Sykes (1999), Evolving towards a critical point: A review of accelerating seismic moment/energy release prior to large and great earthquakes, Pure Appl. Geophys., 155, 279–306. Jimenez, A., K. F. Tiampo, S. Levin, and A. M. Posadas (2006), Testing the persistence in earthquake catalogs: The Iberian Peninsula, Europhys. Lett., 73, 171–177, doi:10.1209/epl/i2005-10383-8. Keilis-Borok, V. I. (1999), What comes next in the dynamics of lithosphere and earthquake prediction?, Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 111, 179– 185. King, G. C. P., and D. D. Bowman (2003), The evolution of regional seismicity between large earthquakes, J. Geophys. Res., 108(B2), 2096, doi:10.1029/2001JB000783. Mignan, A. (2008), The Non-Critical Precursory Accelerating Seismicity Theory (NC PAST) and limits of the power-law fit methodology, Tectonophysics, 452, 42–50, doi:10.1016/j.tecto.2008.02.010. Mignan, A., G. C. P. King, and D. D. Bowman (2007), A mathematical formulation of accelerating moment release based on the stress accumulation model, J. Geophys. Res., 112, B07308, doi:10.1029/2006JB004671. Molchan, G., and O. Dmitrieva (1991), Identification of aftershocks: Review and new approaches (in Russian), Comput. Seismol., 24, 19– 24. Sammis, C. G., and D. Sornette (2002), Positive feedback, memory, and the predictability of earthquakes, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci.U. S. A., 99, 2501–2508. Sobolev, G., and Y. Tyupkin (1999), The RTL algorithm application for strong earthquake prediction on Kamchatka, Volcanol. Seismol., 20, 615– 627. Sornette, D., and C. G. Sammis (1995), Complex critical exponents from renormalization group theory of earthquakes: Implications for earthquake predictions, J. Phys. I, 5, 607– 619. Tiampo, K. F., and M. Anghel (2006), Introduction to special issue: Critical point theory and space-time pattern formation in precursory seismicity, Tectonophysics, 413, 1–3. Turcotte, D. L., W. I. Newmann, and R. Shcherbakov (2003), Micro- and macro-scopic models of rock fracture, Geophys. J. Int., 152, 718– 728. | en |
| dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico | 3.1. Fisica dei terremoti | en |
| dc.description.journalType | JCR Journal | en |
| dc.description.fulltext | reserved | en |
| dc.contributor.author | Mignan, A. | en |
| dc.contributor.author | Di Giovambattista, R. | en |
| dc.contributor.department | Risk Management Solutions, London, UK. | en |
| dc.contributor.department | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione ONT, Roma, Italia | en |
| item.openairetype | article | - |
| item.cerifentitytype | Publications | - |
| item.languageiso639-1 | en | - |
| item.grantfulltext | restricted | - |
| item.openairecristype | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf | - |
| item.fulltext | With Fulltext | - |
| crisitem.author.dept | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione ONT, Roma, Italia | - |
| crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0002-2167-7534 | - |
| crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0001-5622-1396 | - |
| crisitem.author.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
| crisitem.classification.parent | 04. Solid Earth | - |
| crisitem.department.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
| Appears in Collections: | Article published / in press | |
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| 2008GL035024proof.pdf | Main article | 348.73 kB | Adobe PDF |
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