Il progetto EPLORIS: La ricostruzione virtuale dell'eruzione del Vesuvio

Abstract

The main objective of the Exploris project consists in the quantitative analysis of explosive eruption risk in densely populated EU volcanic regions and the evaluation of the likely effectiveness of possible mitigation measures through the development of volcanic risk facilities (such as supercomputer models, vulnerability databases, and probabilistic risk assessment protocols) and their application to high-risk European volcanoes. Exploris’ main ambition is to make a significant step forward in the assessment of explosive eruption risk in highly populated EU cities and islands. For this project, a new simulation model, based on fundamental transport laws to describe the 4D (3D spatial co-ordinates plus time) multiphase flow dynamics of explosive eruptions has been developed and parallelized in INGV and CINECA. Moreover, CINECA developed specific tools to efficiently visualise the results of simulations. This article presents the results of the large numerical simulations, carred out with CINECA’s Supercomputers, to describe the collapse of the volcanic eruption column and the propagation of pyroclastic density currents, for selected medium scale (sub-Plinian) eruptive scenarios at Vesuvius.