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Quasi-synchronous multi-parameter anomalies associated with the 2010–2011 New Zealand earthquake sequence
Author(s)
Language
English
Obiettivo Specifico
1.10. TTC - Telerilevamento
3.1. Fisica dei terremoti
Status
Published
JCR Journal
JCR Journal
Peer review journal
Yes
Title of the book
Issue/vol(year)
/ 12 (2012)
ISSN
1561-8633
Electronic ISSN
1684-9981
Publisher
Copernicus Publications
Pages (printed)
1059–1072
Issued date
April 16, 2012
Subjects
Abstract
Positive thermal anomalies about one month before the 3 September 2010 Mw Combining double low line 7.1 New Zealand earthquake and " coincidental" quasi-synchronous fluctuations of GPS displacement were reported.
Whether there were similar phenomena associated with the aftershocks? To answer it, the following was investigated: multiple parameters including surface and near-surface air temperature, surface latent heat flux, GPS displacement and soil moisture, using a long-term statistical analysis method. We found that local thermal and deformation anomalies appeared quasi-synchronously in three particular tectonic zones, not only about one month before the mainshock, but also tens of days before the 21 February 2011 Mw Combining double low line 6.3 aftershock, and that the time series of soil moisture on the epicenter pixel had obvious peaks on most of the
anomalous days. Based on local tectonic geology, hydrology and meteorology, the particular lithosphere-coversphere-atmosphere coupling mode is interpreted and four mechanisms (magmatic-hydrothermal fluids
upwelling, soil moisture increasing, underground pore gases leaking, and positive holes activating and recombining) are discussed.
Whether there were similar phenomena associated with the aftershocks? To answer it, the following was investigated: multiple parameters including surface and near-surface air temperature, surface latent heat flux, GPS displacement and soil moisture, using a long-term statistical analysis method. We found that local thermal and deformation anomalies appeared quasi-synchronously in three particular tectonic zones, not only about one month before the mainshock, but also tens of days before the 21 February 2011 Mw Combining double low line 6.3 aftershock, and that the time series of soil moisture on the epicenter pixel had obvious peaks on most of the
anomalous days. Based on local tectonic geology, hydrology and meteorology, the particular lithosphere-coversphere-atmosphere coupling mode is interpreted and four mechanisms (magmatic-hydrothermal fluids
upwelling, soil moisture increasing, underground pore gases leaking, and positive holes activating and recombining) are discussed.
References
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Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 8, 8639–8670, doi:10.5194/hessd-8-
8639-2011, 2011.
Beavan, R. J. and Haines, J.: Contemporary horizontal velocity and
strain rate fields of the Pacific-Australian plate boundary zone
through New Zealand, J. Geophys. Res.-Sol Ea., 106, 741–770,
2001.
Biagi, P. F., Ermini, A., Kingsley, S. P., Khatkevich, Y. M., and
Gordeev, E. I.: Possible precursors in groundwater ions and gases
content in Kamchatka (Russia), Phys. Chem. Earth, 25, 295–305,
2000.
Blackett, M., Wooster, M. J., and Malamud, B. D.: Exploring
land surface temperature earthquake precursors: A focus on the
Gujarat (India) earthquake of 2001, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38,
L15303, doi:10.1029/2011GL048282, 2011.
Cervone, G., Singh, R. P., Kafatos, M., and Yu, C.: Wavelet maxima
curves of surface latent heat flux anomalies associated with
Indian earthquakes, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 5, 87–99,
doi:10.5194/nhess-5-87-2005, 2005.
Cicerone, R. D., Ebel, J. E., and Britton, J.: A systematic compilation
of earthquake precursors, Tectonophysics., 476, 371–396,
2009.
Dey, S. and Singh, R. P.: Surface latent heat flux as an earthquake
precursor, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 3, 749–755,
doi:10.5194/nhess-3-749-2003, 2003.
Esposito, E., Pece, R., Porfido, S., and Tranfaglia, G.: Hydrological
anomalies connected to earthquakes in southern
Apennines (Italy), Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 1, 137–144,
doi:10.5194/nhess-1-137-2001, 2001.
Freund, F. T.:, Charge generation and propagation in igneous rocks,
J. Geodynam., 33, 543–570, 2002.
Freund, F. T.: Pre-earthquake signals – Part I: Deviatoric stresses
turn rocks into a source of electric currents, Nat. Hazards Earth
Syst. Sci., 7, 535–541, doi:10.5194/nhess-7-535-2007, 2007a.
Freund, F. T.: Pre-earthquake signals – Part II: Flow of battery currents
in the crust, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 7, 543–548,
doi:10.5194/nhess-7-543-2007, 2007b.
Freund, F. T., Takeuchi, A., Lau, B. W. S., Al-Manaseer, A., Fu, C.
C., Bryant, N. A., and Ouzounov, D.: Stimulated infrared emission
from rocks: assessing a stress indicator, eEarth, 2, 7–16,
2007c.
Gorny, V., Sal’man, A. G., Tronin, A. A., and Shilin, B. V.: Outgoing
terrestrial infrared radiation as an indicator of seismic activity
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T., Kamigaichi, O., and Nakamura, K.: Preseismic groundwater
level changes induced by crustal deformations related to earthquake
swarms off the east coast of Izu Peninsula, Japan, Geophys.
Res. Lett., 31, L10606, doi:10.1029/2004GL019557, 2004.
Mil’kis, M. R.: Meteorological precursors of earthquakes,
Izvestiya, Earth Physics, 22, 195–204, 1986.
Mogi, K.: Temporal variation of the precursory crustal deformation
just prior to the 1944 Tonankai earthquake, J. Seismol. Soc. Jpn.,
35, 145–148, 1982 (in Japanese).
Mogi, K., Mochizuki, H., and Kurokawa, Y.: Temperature changes
in an artesian spring at Usami in the Izu peninsula (Japan)
and their relation to earthquakes, Tectonophysics., 159, 95–108,
1989.
Ouzounov, D. and Freund, T.: Mid-infrared emission prior to strong
earthquakes analyzed remote sensing data, Adv. Space Res., 33,
268–273, 2004.
Pulinets, S., Ozounov, D., Karelin, A. V., Boyarchuk, K. A., and
Pokhmelnykh, L. A.: The physical nature of thermal anomalies
observed before strong earthquakes, Phys. Chem. Earth., 31,
143–153, 2006.
Qiang, Z. J., Xu, X. D., and Dian, C. G.: Thermal infrared anomaly
precursor of impending earthquakes, Chin. Sci. Bull., 36, 319–
323, 1991.
Qiang, Z. J., Kong, L. C., Guo, M. H., and Wang, Y. P.: Laboratory
research on mechanism of satellite infrared anomaly, Chin. Sci.
Bull., 16, 1403–1404, 1995.
Qin, K., Guo, G. M., andWu, L. X.: Surface latent heat flux anomalies
preceding inland earthquakes in China , Earthq. Sci., 22,
555–562, 2009.
Qin, K.,Wu, L. X., De Santis, A., andWang, H.: Surface latent heat
flux anomalies before theMS 7.1 New Zealand earthquake 2010,
Chin. Sci. Bull., 56, 3273–3280, 2011.
Rezapour, N., Fattahi, M., and Bidokhti, A. A.: Possible soil thermal
response to seismic activities in Alborz region (Iran), Nat.
Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 10, 459–464, doi:10.5194/nhess-10-
459-2010, 2010.
Saradjian, M. R. and Akhoondzadeh, M.: Thermal anomalies detection
before strong earthquakes (M > 6.0) using interquartile,
wavelet and Kalman filter methods, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst.
Sci., 11, 1099–1108, doi:10.5194/nhess-11-1099-2011, 2011.
Salazar, J. M. L., Perez, N., Hernandez, P. A., Soriano, T., Barahona,
F., Olmos, R., Cartagena, R., Lopez, D. L., Lima, R. N.,
Melian, G., Galindo, I., Padron, E., Sumino, H., and Notsu, K.:
Precursor diffuse carbon dioxide degassing signature related to a
5.1 magnitude earthquake in El Salvador, Central America, Earth
Planet. Sc. Lett., 205, 81–89, 2002.
Saraf, A. K. and Choudhury, S.: Satellite detects surface thermal
anomalies associated with the Algerian earthquakes of May
2003, Int. J. Remote Sens., 26, 2705–2713, 2004.
Tramutoli, V., Cuomo, V., Filizzola, B., Pergola, N., and Piertraposa, C.: Assessing the potential of thermal infrared satellite surveys formonitoring seismically active areas: The case of Kocaeli (Izmit) earthquake, 17 August 1999, Remote Sens. Environ., 96,
409–426, 2005.
Tronin, A. A.: Satellite thermal survey-a new tool for the study of
seismoactive regions, Int. J. Remote Sens., 41, 1439–1455, 1996.
Wu, L. X., Liu, S. J., Wu, Y. H., and Li, Y. Q.: Changes in IR with
rock deformation, Int. J. Rock Mech. Min., 39, 825–831, 2002.
Wu, L. X., Liu, S. J., and Wu, Y. H.: Precursors for rock fracturing
and failure-part I: IRR image abnormalities, Int. J. Rock Mech. Min., 43, 473–482, 2006a. Wu, L. X., Liu, S. J., and Wu, Y. H.: Precursors for rock fracturing
and failure-part II:IRR T-curve abnormalities, Int. J. Rock Mech.
Min., 43, 483–493, 2006b.
Wu, L. X. and Liu, S. J.: Remote Sensing Rock Mechanics and
Earthquake Infrared Anomalies, edited by: Jedlovec, G., in: Adv.
Geosci. Remote Sens, Sweden In-Teh., 709–741, 2009.
Wu, L. X., Qin, K., and Liu, S. J.: GEOSS-Based Thermal Parameters
Analysis for Earthquake Anomaly Recognition, Proceedings of the IEEE, 99, 1–17, doi:10.1109/JPROC.2012.2184789, 2012.
effect on land surface temperature and surface energy balance
under bare soil conditions: modeling and description, Hydrol.
Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 8, 8639–8670, doi:10.5194/hessd-8-
8639-2011, 2011.
Beavan, R. J. and Haines, J.: Contemporary horizontal velocity and
strain rate fields of the Pacific-Australian plate boundary zone
through New Zealand, J. Geophys. Res.-Sol Ea., 106, 741–770,
2001.
Biagi, P. F., Ermini, A., Kingsley, S. P., Khatkevich, Y. M., and
Gordeev, E. I.: Possible precursors in groundwater ions and gases
content in Kamchatka (Russia), Phys. Chem. Earth, 25, 295–305,
2000.
Blackett, M., Wooster, M. J., and Malamud, B. D.: Exploring
land surface temperature earthquake precursors: A focus on the
Gujarat (India) earthquake of 2001, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38,
L15303, doi:10.1029/2011GL048282, 2011.
Cervone, G., Singh, R. P., Kafatos, M., and Yu, C.: Wavelet maxima
curves of surface latent heat flux anomalies associated with
Indian earthquakes, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 5, 87–99,
doi:10.5194/nhess-5-87-2005, 2005.
Cicerone, R. D., Ebel, J. E., and Britton, J.: A systematic compilation
of earthquake precursors, Tectonophysics., 476, 371–396,
2009.
Dey, S. and Singh, R. P.: Surface latent heat flux as an earthquake
precursor, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 3, 749–755,
doi:10.5194/nhess-3-749-2003, 2003.
Esposito, E., Pece, R., Porfido, S., and Tranfaglia, G.: Hydrological
anomalies connected to earthquakes in southern
Apennines (Italy), Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 1, 137–144,
doi:10.5194/nhess-1-137-2001, 2001.
Freund, F. T.:, Charge generation and propagation in igneous rocks,
J. Geodynam., 33, 543–570, 2002.
Freund, F. T.: Pre-earthquake signals – Part I: Deviatoric stresses
turn rocks into a source of electric currents, Nat. Hazards Earth
Syst. Sci., 7, 535–541, doi:10.5194/nhess-7-535-2007, 2007a.
Freund, F. T.: Pre-earthquake signals – Part II: Flow of battery currents
in the crust, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 7, 543–548,
doi:10.5194/nhess-7-543-2007, 2007b.
Freund, F. T., Takeuchi, A., Lau, B. W. S., Al-Manaseer, A., Fu, C.
C., Bryant, N. A., and Ouzounov, D.: Stimulated infrared emission
from rocks: assessing a stress indicator, eEarth, 2, 7–16,
2007c.
Gorny, V., Sal’man, A. G., Tronin, A. A., and Shilin, B. V.: Outgoing
terrestrial infrared radiation as an indicator of seismic activity
(in Russian), Dokl. Akad. Nauk USSR., 30, 67–69, 1988.
Idso, S. B., Jackson, R. D., Reginato, R. J., Kimball, B. A., and
Nakayama, F. S.: The dependence of bare soil albedo on soil water content, J. Appl. Meteorol., 14, 109–113, 1975. Kalnay, E., Kanamitsu, M., Kistler, R., Collins, W., Deaven, D.,
Gandin, L., Iredell, M., Saha, S., White, G.,Woollen, J., Zhu, Y.,
Leetmaa, A., Reynolds, R., Chelliah, M., Ebisuzaki,W., Higgins,
W., Janowiak, J., Mo, K. C., Ropelewski, C., and Wang, J.: The
NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project, B. Am. Meteor. Soc.,
77, 437–470, 1996.
Koizumi, N., Kitagawa, Y., Matsumoto, N., Takahashi, M., Sato,
T., Kamigaichi, O., and Nakamura, K.: Preseismic groundwater
level changes induced by crustal deformations related to earthquake
swarms off the east coast of Izu Peninsula, Japan, Geophys.
Res. Lett., 31, L10606, doi:10.1029/2004GL019557, 2004.
Mil’kis, M. R.: Meteorological precursors of earthquakes,
Izvestiya, Earth Physics, 22, 195–204, 1986.
Mogi, K.: Temporal variation of the precursory crustal deformation
just prior to the 1944 Tonankai earthquake, J. Seismol. Soc. Jpn.,
35, 145–148, 1982 (in Japanese).
Mogi, K., Mochizuki, H., and Kurokawa, Y.: Temperature changes
in an artesian spring at Usami in the Izu peninsula (Japan)
and their relation to earthquakes, Tectonophysics., 159, 95–108,
1989.
Ouzounov, D. and Freund, T.: Mid-infrared emission prior to strong
earthquakes analyzed remote sensing data, Adv. Space Res., 33,
268–273, 2004.
Pulinets, S., Ozounov, D., Karelin, A. V., Boyarchuk, K. A., and
Pokhmelnykh, L. A.: The physical nature of thermal anomalies
observed before strong earthquakes, Phys. Chem. Earth., 31,
143–153, 2006.
Qiang, Z. J., Xu, X. D., and Dian, C. G.: Thermal infrared anomaly
precursor of impending earthquakes, Chin. Sci. Bull., 36, 319–
323, 1991.
Qiang, Z. J., Kong, L. C., Guo, M. H., and Wang, Y. P.: Laboratory
research on mechanism of satellite infrared anomaly, Chin. Sci.
Bull., 16, 1403–1404, 1995.
Qin, K., Guo, G. M., andWu, L. X.: Surface latent heat flux anomalies
preceding inland earthquakes in China , Earthq. Sci., 22,
555–562, 2009.
Qin, K.,Wu, L. X., De Santis, A., andWang, H.: Surface latent heat
flux anomalies before theMS 7.1 New Zealand earthquake 2010,
Chin. Sci. Bull., 56, 3273–3280, 2011.
Rezapour, N., Fattahi, M., and Bidokhti, A. A.: Possible soil thermal
response to seismic activities in Alborz region (Iran), Nat.
Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 10, 459–464, doi:10.5194/nhess-10-
459-2010, 2010.
Saradjian, M. R. and Akhoondzadeh, M.: Thermal anomalies detection
before strong earthquakes (M > 6.0) using interquartile,
wavelet and Kalman filter methods, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst.
Sci., 11, 1099–1108, doi:10.5194/nhess-11-1099-2011, 2011.
Salazar, J. M. L., Perez, N., Hernandez, P. A., Soriano, T., Barahona,
F., Olmos, R., Cartagena, R., Lopez, D. L., Lima, R. N.,
Melian, G., Galindo, I., Padron, E., Sumino, H., and Notsu, K.:
Precursor diffuse carbon dioxide degassing signature related to a
5.1 magnitude earthquake in El Salvador, Central America, Earth
Planet. Sc. Lett., 205, 81–89, 2002.
Saraf, A. K. and Choudhury, S.: Satellite detects surface thermal
anomalies associated with the Algerian earthquakes of May
2003, Int. J. Remote Sens., 26, 2705–2713, 2004.
Tramutoli, V., Cuomo, V., Filizzola, B., Pergola, N., and Piertraposa, C.: Assessing the potential of thermal infrared satellite surveys formonitoring seismically active areas: The case of Kocaeli (Izmit) earthquake, 17 August 1999, Remote Sens. Environ., 96,
409–426, 2005.
Tronin, A. A.: Satellite thermal survey-a new tool for the study of
seismoactive regions, Int. J. Remote Sens., 41, 1439–1455, 1996.
Wu, L. X., Liu, S. J., Wu, Y. H., and Li, Y. Q.: Changes in IR with
rock deformation, Int. J. Rock Mech. Min., 39, 825–831, 2002.
Wu, L. X., Liu, S. J., and Wu, Y. H.: Precursors for rock fracturing
and failure-part I: IRR image abnormalities, Int. J. Rock Mech. Min., 43, 473–482, 2006a. Wu, L. X., Liu, S. J., and Wu, Y. H.: Precursors for rock fracturing
and failure-part II:IRR T-curve abnormalities, Int. J. Rock Mech.
Min., 43, 483–493, 2006b.
Wu, L. X. and Liu, S. J.: Remote Sensing Rock Mechanics and
Earthquake Infrared Anomalies, edited by: Jedlovec, G., in: Adv.
Geosci. Remote Sens, Sweden In-Teh., 709–741, 2009.
Wu, L. X., Qin, K., and Liu, S. J.: GEOSS-Based Thermal Parameters
Analysis for Earthquake Anomaly Recognition, Proceedings of the IEEE, 99, 1–17, doi:10.1109/JPROC.2012.2184789, 2012.
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