Earthquake forecasting and hazard assessment: a preface
Language
English
Obiettivo Specifico
3T. Pericolosità sismica e contributo alla definizione del rischio
Status
Published
JCR Journal
JCR Journal
Issue/vol(year)
1/53(2012)
ISSN
0006-6729
Publisher
Istituto Nazionale di Oceanografia e di Geofisica Sperimentale-OGS
Pages (printed)
1-5
Date Issued
March 2012
Alternative Location
Abstract
Forecasting potentially damaging future earthquakes and eruptions is a basic (and expected) outcome of scientific research. Several kinds of forecast are presently performed by considering different combinations of geophysical, geological, historical information and the scientific debate focuses on feasibility of each kind of methodology and reliabilty of the relevant results.
References
Albarello D.; 2012: Design earthquake from site-oriented macroseismic hazard estimates. Boll. Geof. Teor. Appl., 53,
7-18, doi: 10.4430/bgta 0035.
Albarello D., Bosi V., Bramerini F., Lucantoni A., Naso G., Peruzza L., Rebez A., Sabetta F. e Slejko D; 2000: Carte
dipericolosità sismica del territorio nazionale. Quaderni di Geofisica, n. 12, Editrice Compositori, Bologna, 7 pp.
Albarello D., Bramerini F., D’Amico V., Lucantoni A. and Naso G.; 2002: Italian intensity hazard maps: a comparison
between results from different methodologies. Boll. Geof. Teor. Appl., 43, 249-262.
Amoruso A. and Crescentini L.; 2012: Pre-seismic phenomena from continuous near-field strain measurements: a brief
review and the case of the 2009 L’Aquila, Italy, earthquake. Boll. Geof. Teor. Appl., 53, 169-190, doi:
10.4430/bgta0039.
Azzaro R., D’Amico S., Peruzza L. and Tuvè T.; 2012: Earthquakes and faults at Mt. Etna (southern Italy): problems
and perspectives for a time-dependent probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in a volcanic region. Boll. Geof.
Teor. Appl., 53, 75-88, doi: 10.4430/bgta0038.
Bonfanti P., Genzano N., Heinicke J., Italiano F., Martinelli G., Pergola N., Telesca L. and Tramutoli V.; 2012: Evidence
of CO2-gas emission variations in the central Apennines (Italy) during the L’Aquila seismic sequence (March-April
2009). Boll. Geof. Teor. Appl., 53, 147-168, doi: 10.4430/bgta0043.
Brancato A., Gresta S., Sandri L., Selva J., Marzocchi W., Alparone S., Andronico D., Bonforte A., Caltabiano T.,
Cocina O., Corsaro R.A., Cristofolini R., Di Grazia G., Distefano G., Ferlito C., Gambino S., Giammanco S., Greco
F., Napoli R., Tusa G. and Viccaro M.; 2012: Quantifying probabilities of eruption at a well-monitored active
volcano: an application to Mt. Etna (Sicily, Italy). Boll. Geof. Teor. Appl., 53, 55-74, doi: 10.4430/bgta 0040.
CNR-PFG (Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche – Progetto Finalizzato Geodinamica); 1980: Proposta di
riclassificazione sismica del territorio nazionale. Pubbl. 361, ESA Editrice, Roma, Italy, 83 pp.D’Amico V., Meletti C. and Martinelli F.; 2012: Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in the high-risk area of southeastern
Sicily (Italy). Boll. Geof. Teor. Appl., 53, 19-36, doi: 10.4430/bgta0036.
Fidani C.; 2012: Statistical and spectral properties of the L’Aquila EQL in 2009. Boll. Geof. Teor. Appl., 53, 135-146,
doi: 10.4430/bgta0034.
Gómez Capera A.A., D’Amico V., Meletti C., Rovida A. and Albarello D.; 2010: Seismic hazard assessment in terms
of macroseismic intensity in Italy: a critical analysis from the comparison of different computational procedures.
Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 100, 1614–1631.
GDL-MS (Gruppo di Lavoro Microzonazione Sismica); 2008: Indirizzi e criteri per la microzonazione sismica.
Conferenza delle Regioni e delle Province Autonome – Dipartimento della Protezione Civile, Roma, 3 vols. and
dvd.
ICEF (International Commission on earthquake forecasting for Civil Protection); 2011: Final Report. Ann. Geophys.,
54, 315-391, doi: 10.4401/ag-5350.
Mantovani E., Viti M., Babbucci D., Cenni N., Tamburelli C. and Vannucchi A.; 2012: Middle term prediction of
earthquakes in Italy: some remarks on empirical and deterministic approaches. Boll. Geof. Teor. Appl., 53, 89-
111, doi: 10.4430/bgta0037.
Massa M., Luzi L., Pacor F., Bindi D. and Ameri G.; 2012: Comparison between empirical predictive equations
calibrated at global and national scale and Italian strong-motion data. Boll. Geof. Teor. Appl., 53, 37-53, doi:
10.4430/bgta0018.
Mulargia F. and Geller R.J. (eds); 2003: Earthquake science and seismic risk reduction. NATO Science series, IV Earth
and Environmental Sciences – Vol. 32, Kluwer Acad. Pub., The Netherlands, 338 pp.
Petrini R., Italiano F., Riggio A., Slejko F.F., Santulin M., Buccianti A., Bonfanti P. and Slejko D.; 2012: Coupling
geochemical and geophysical signatures to constrain strain changes along thrust faults. Boll. Geof. Teor. Appl.,
53, 113-134, doi: 10.4430/bgta0017.
Slejko D., Peruzza L. and Rebez A.; 1998: The seismic hazard maps of Italy. Ann. Geofisica, 41, 183–214.
Stucchi M., Meletti C., Montaldo V., Crowley H., Calvi G.M. and Boschi E.; 2011: Seismic hazard assessment
(2003–2009) for the Italian building code. Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 101, 1885–1911, doi: 10.1785/0120100130.
7-18, doi: 10.4430/bgta 0035.
Albarello D., Bosi V., Bramerini F., Lucantoni A., Naso G., Peruzza L., Rebez A., Sabetta F. e Slejko D; 2000: Carte
dipericolosità sismica del territorio nazionale. Quaderni di Geofisica, n. 12, Editrice Compositori, Bologna, 7 pp.
Albarello D., Bramerini F., D’Amico V., Lucantoni A. and Naso G.; 2002: Italian intensity hazard maps: a comparison
between results from different methodologies. Boll. Geof. Teor. Appl., 43, 249-262.
Amoruso A. and Crescentini L.; 2012: Pre-seismic phenomena from continuous near-field strain measurements: a brief
review and the case of the 2009 L’Aquila, Italy, earthquake. Boll. Geof. Teor. Appl., 53, 169-190, doi:
10.4430/bgta0039.
Azzaro R., D’Amico S., Peruzza L. and Tuvè T.; 2012: Earthquakes and faults at Mt. Etna (southern Italy): problems
and perspectives for a time-dependent probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in a volcanic region. Boll. Geof.
Teor. Appl., 53, 75-88, doi: 10.4430/bgta0038.
Bonfanti P., Genzano N., Heinicke J., Italiano F., Martinelli G., Pergola N., Telesca L. and Tramutoli V.; 2012: Evidence
of CO2-gas emission variations in the central Apennines (Italy) during the L’Aquila seismic sequence (March-April
2009). Boll. Geof. Teor. Appl., 53, 147-168, doi: 10.4430/bgta0043.
Brancato A., Gresta S., Sandri L., Selva J., Marzocchi W., Alparone S., Andronico D., Bonforte A., Caltabiano T.,
Cocina O., Corsaro R.A., Cristofolini R., Di Grazia G., Distefano G., Ferlito C., Gambino S., Giammanco S., Greco
F., Napoli R., Tusa G. and Viccaro M.; 2012: Quantifying probabilities of eruption at a well-monitored active
volcano: an application to Mt. Etna (Sicily, Italy). Boll. Geof. Teor. Appl., 53, 55-74, doi: 10.4430/bgta 0040.
CNR-PFG (Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche – Progetto Finalizzato Geodinamica); 1980: Proposta di
riclassificazione sismica del territorio nazionale. Pubbl. 361, ESA Editrice, Roma, Italy, 83 pp.D’Amico V., Meletti C. and Martinelli F.; 2012: Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in the high-risk area of southeastern
Sicily (Italy). Boll. Geof. Teor. Appl., 53, 19-36, doi: 10.4430/bgta0036.
Fidani C.; 2012: Statistical and spectral properties of the L’Aquila EQL in 2009. Boll. Geof. Teor. Appl., 53, 135-146,
doi: 10.4430/bgta0034.
Gómez Capera A.A., D’Amico V., Meletti C., Rovida A. and Albarello D.; 2010: Seismic hazard assessment in terms
of macroseismic intensity in Italy: a critical analysis from the comparison of different computational procedures.
Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 100, 1614–1631.
GDL-MS (Gruppo di Lavoro Microzonazione Sismica); 2008: Indirizzi e criteri per la microzonazione sismica.
Conferenza delle Regioni e delle Province Autonome – Dipartimento della Protezione Civile, Roma, 3 vols. and
dvd.
ICEF (International Commission on earthquake forecasting for Civil Protection); 2011: Final Report. Ann. Geophys.,
54, 315-391, doi: 10.4401/ag-5350.
Mantovani E., Viti M., Babbucci D., Cenni N., Tamburelli C. and Vannucchi A.; 2012: Middle term prediction of
earthquakes in Italy: some remarks on empirical and deterministic approaches. Boll. Geof. Teor. Appl., 53, 89-
111, doi: 10.4430/bgta0037.
Massa M., Luzi L., Pacor F., Bindi D. and Ameri G.; 2012: Comparison between empirical predictive equations
calibrated at global and national scale and Italian strong-motion data. Boll. Geof. Teor. Appl., 53, 37-53, doi:
10.4430/bgta0018.
Mulargia F. and Geller R.J. (eds); 2003: Earthquake science and seismic risk reduction. NATO Science series, IV Earth
and Environmental Sciences – Vol. 32, Kluwer Acad. Pub., The Netherlands, 338 pp.
Petrini R., Italiano F., Riggio A., Slejko F.F., Santulin M., Buccianti A., Bonfanti P. and Slejko D.; 2012: Coupling
geochemical and geophysical signatures to constrain strain changes along thrust faults. Boll. Geof. Teor. Appl.,
53, 113-134, doi: 10.4430/bgta0017.
Slejko D., Peruzza L. and Rebez A.; 1998: The seismic hazard maps of Italy. Ann. Geofisica, 41, 183–214.
Stucchi M., Meletti C., Montaldo V., Crowley H., Calvi G.M. and Boschi E.; 2011: Seismic hazard assessment
(2003–2009) for the Italian building code. Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 101, 1885–1911, doi: 10.1785/0120100130.
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