Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2122/9554
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dc.contributor.authorallAlessandri, A.; ENEA, Rome, Italyen
dc.contributor.authorallDe Felice, M.; ENEA, Rome, Italyen
dc.contributor.authorallZeng, N.; University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USen
dc.contributor.authorallMariotti, A.; NOAA, Silver Spring, MD, USen
dc.contributor.authorallYutong, P.; University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USen
dc.contributor.authorallCherchi, A.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italiaen
dc.contributor.authorallLee, J.-Y.; Pusan National University, Busan, South Koreaen
dc.contributor.authorallWang, B.; 2International Pacific Research Center, Honolulu, HI, USAen
dc.contributor.authorallHa, K.-J.; Pusan National University, Busaen
dc.contributor.authorallRuti, P.; ENEA, Rome, Italyen
dc.contributor.authorallArtale, V.; ENEA, Rome, Italyen
dc.date.accessioned2015-04-20T14:36:18Zen
dc.date.available2015-04-20T14:36:18Zen
dc.date.issued2014-12-02en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2122/9554en
dc.description.abstractThe warm-temperate regions of the globe characterized by dry summers and wet winters (Mediterranean climate; MED) are especially vulnerable to climate change. The potential impact on water resources,ecosystems and human livelihood requires a detailed picture of the future changes in this unique climate zone. Here we apply a probabilistic approach to quantitatively address how and why the geographic distribution of MED will change based on the latest-available climate projections for the 21st century. Our analysis provides, for the first time, a robust assessment of significant northward and eastward future expansions of MED over both the Euro-Mediterranean and western North America. Concurrently, we show a significant 21st century replacement of the equatorward MED margins by the arid climate type.Moreover, future winters will become wetter and summers drier in both the old and newly established MED zones. Should these projections be realized, living conditions in some of the most densely populated regions in the world will be seriously jeopardized.en
dc.language.isoEnglishen
dc.relation.ispartofScientific Reportsen
dc.relation.ispartofseries/4 (2014)en
dc.subjectCMIP5 projectionsen
dc.subjectMediterranean climateen
dc.titleRobust assessment of the expansion and retreat of Mediterranean climate in the 21st centuryen
dc.typearticleen
dc.description.statusPublisheden
dc.type.QualityControlPeer-revieweden
dc.description.pagenumber7211en
dc.subject.INGV01. Atmosphere::01.01. Atmosphere::01.01.02. Climateen
dc.identifier.doi10.1038/srep07211en
dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico4A. Clima e Oceanien
dc.description.journalTypeJCR Journalen
dc.description.fulltextrestricteden
dc.contributor.authorAlessandri, A.en
dc.contributor.authorDe Felice, M.en
dc.contributor.authorZeng, N.en
dc.contributor.authorMariotti, A.en
dc.contributor.authorYutong, P.en
dc.contributor.authorCherchi, A.en
dc.contributor.authorLee, J.-Y.en
dc.contributor.authorWang, B.en
dc.contributor.authorHa, K.-J.en
dc.contributor.authorRuti, P.en
dc.contributor.authorArtale, V.en
dc.contributor.departmentENEA, Rome, Italyen
dc.contributor.departmentENEA, Rome, Italyen
dc.contributor.departmentUniversity of Maryland, College Park, MD, USen
dc.contributor.departmentNOAA, Silver Spring, MD, USen
dc.contributor.departmentUniversity of Maryland, College Park, MD, USen
dc.contributor.departmentIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italiaen
dc.contributor.departmentPusan National University, Busan, South Koreaen
dc.contributor.department2International Pacific Research Center, Honolulu, HI, USAen
dc.contributor.departmentPusan National University, Busaen
dc.contributor.departmentENEA, Rome, Italyen
dc.contributor.departmentENEA, Rome, Italyen
item.openairetypearticle-
item.cerifentitytypePublications-
item.languageiso639-1en-
item.grantfulltextrestricted-
item.openairecristypehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf-
item.fulltextWith Fulltext-
crisitem.author.deptENEA, Rome, Italy-
crisitem.author.deptENEA, Rome, Italy-
crisitem.author.deptUniversity of Mariland-
crisitem.author.deptNOAA, Silver Spring, MD, US-
crisitem.author.deptUniversity of Maryland, College Park, MD, US-
crisitem.author.deptIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italia-
crisitem.author.deptPusan National University, Busan, South Korea-
crisitem.author.deptInternational Pacific Research Center, Honolulu, Hawaii-
crisitem.author.deptPusan National University, Busa-
crisitem.author.deptENEA, Rome, Italy-
crisitem.author.orcid0000-0002-0178-9264-
crisitem.author.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
crisitem.classification.parent01. Atmosphere-
crisitem.department.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
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