Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2122/8723
AuthorsVillarini, G.* 
Scoccimarro, E.* 
Gualdi, S.* 
TitleProjections of Heavy Rainfall over the Central US based on CMIP5 Models
Issue Date2013
Series/Report no./14 (2013)
DOI10.1002/asl2.440
URIhttp://hdl.handle.net/2122/8723
Keywordsprecipitation
extreme events
cmip5
climate change
Subject Classification01. Atmosphere::01.01. Atmosphere::01.01.02. Climate 
AbstractThe central United States is a region for which observational studies have indicated an increase in heavy rainfall. This study uses projections of daily rainfall from 20 state-of-the-art global climate models and one scenario (RCP 8.5) to examine projected changes in extreme rainfall. Analyses are performed focusing on trends in the 90th and 99th percentiles of the daily rainfall distributions for two periods (2006-2045 and 2046-2085). The results of this study indicate a large increase in extreme rainfall in particular over the northern part of the study region, with a much less clear signal over the Great Plains and the states along the Gulf of Mexico.
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