Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://hdl.handle.net/2122/8588
DC Field | Value | Language |
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dc.contributor.authorall | Pohlmann, H.; Max-Planck-Institut fu ̈r Meteorologie, | en |
dc.contributor.authorall | Smith, D. M.; Met Office Hadley Centre | en |
dc.contributor.authorall | Balmaseda, M. A.; ECMWF | en |
dc.contributor.authorall | Keenlyside, N. S.; Geophysical Institute and Bjerknes Centre, University of Bergen | en |
dc.contributor.authorall | Masina, S.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italia | en |
dc.contributor.authorall | Matei, D.; Max-Planck-Institut fu ̈r Meteorologie, | en |
dc.contributor.authorall | Muller, W. A.; Max-Planck-Institut fu ̈r Meteorologie, | en |
dc.contributor.authorall | Rogel, P.; CERFACS | en |
dc.date.accessioned | 2013-04-02T10:39:45Z | en |
dc.date.available | 2013-04-02T10:39:45Z | en |
dc.date.issued | 2013 | en |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/2122/8588 | en |
dc.description.abstract | Assessing the skill of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) in decadal hindcasts (i.e. retrospective predictions) is hampered by a lack of obser- vations for verification. Models are therefore needed to reconstruct the historical AMOC variability. Here we show that ten recent oceanic syntheses provide a common signal of AMOC variability at 45°N, with an increase from the 1960s to the mid-1990s and a decrease thereafter although they disagree on the exact magnitude. This signal corre- lates with observed key processes such as the North Atlantic Oscillation, sub-polar gyre strength, Atlantic sea surface temperature dipole, and Labrador Sea convection that are thought to be related to the AMOC. Furthermore, we find potential predictability of the mid-latitude AMOC for the first 3–6 year means when we validate decadal hindcasts for the past 50 years against the multi-model signal. However, this predictability is not found in models driven only by external radiative changes, demonstrating the need for initialization of decadal climate predictions. | en |
dc.language.iso | English | en |
dc.publisher.name | Springer Verlag GMBH Germany | en |
dc.relation.ispartof | Climate dynamics | en |
dc.relation.ispartofseries | /41 (2013) | en |
dc.subject | Decadal prediction Atlantic MOC Predictability Multi-model comparison | en |
dc.title | Predictability of the mid-latitude Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a multi-model system | en |
dc.type | article | en |
dc.description.status | Published | en |
dc.type.QualityControl | Peer-reviewed | en |
dc.description.pagenumber | 775-785 | en |
dc.subject.INGV | 01. Atmosphere::01.01. Atmosphere::01.01.02. Climate | en |
dc.subject.INGV | 03. Hydrosphere::03.01. General::03.01.03. Global climate models | en |
dc.subject.INGV | 03. Hydrosphere::03.03. Physical::03.03.03. Interannual-to-decadal ocean variability | en |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1007/s00382-013-1663-6 | en |
dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico | 3.7. Dinamica del clima e dell'oceano | en |
dc.description.journalType | JCR Journal | en |
dc.description.fulltext | restricted | en |
dc.relation.issn | 0930-7575 | en |
dc.relation.eissn | 1432-0894 | en |
dc.contributor.author | Pohlmann, H. | en |
dc.contributor.author | Smith, D. M. | en |
dc.contributor.author | Balmaseda, M. A. | en |
dc.contributor.author | Keenlyside, N. S. | en |
dc.contributor.author | Masina, S. | en |
dc.contributor.author | Matei, D. | en |
dc.contributor.author | Muller, W. A. | en |
dc.contributor.author | Rogel, P. | en |
dc.contributor.department | Max-Planck-Institut fu ̈r Meteorologie, | en |
dc.contributor.department | Met Office Hadley Centre | en |
dc.contributor.department | ECMWF | en |
dc.contributor.department | Geophysical Institute and Bjerknes Centre, University of Bergen | en |
dc.contributor.department | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italia | en |
dc.contributor.department | Max-Planck-Institut fu ̈r Meteorologie, | en |
dc.contributor.department | Max-Planck-Institut fu ̈r Meteorologie, | en |
dc.contributor.department | CERFACS | en |
item.openairetype | article | - |
item.cerifentitytype | Publications | - |
item.languageiso639-1 | en | - |
item.grantfulltext | restricted | - |
item.openairecristype | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf | - |
item.fulltext | With Fulltext | - |
crisitem.author.dept | Department of Oceanography, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada | - |
crisitem.author.dept | Met Office Hadley Centre | - |
crisitem.author.dept | Geophysical Institute and Bjerknes Centre, University of Bergen | - |
crisitem.author.dept | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italia | - |
crisitem.author.dept | CERFACS | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0002-9611-8788 | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0001-6273-7065 | - |
crisitem.author.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
crisitem.classification.parent | 01. Atmosphere | - |
crisitem.classification.parent | 03. Hydrosphere | - |
crisitem.classification.parent | 03. Hydrosphere | - |
crisitem.department.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
Appears in Collections: | Article published / in press |
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Pohlmannetal2013.pdf | Main article | 719.46 kB | Adobe PDF |
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