Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2122/7258
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dc.contributor.authorallVicari, A.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Catania, Catania, Italiaen
dc.contributor.authorallGanci, G.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Catania, Catania, Italiaen
dc.contributor.authorallBehncke, B.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Catania, Catania, Italiaen
dc.contributor.authorallCappello, A.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Catania, Catania, Italiaen
dc.contributor.authorallNeri, M.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Catania, Catania, Italiaen
dc.contributor.authorallDel Negro, C.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Catania, Catania, Italiaen
dc.date.accessioned2011-12-21T10:42:24Zen
dc.date.available2011-12-21T10:42:24Zen
dc.date.issued2011-07-07en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2122/7258en
dc.description.abstractForecasting the lava flow invasion hazard in near‐real time is a primary challenge for volcano monitoring systems. The paroxysmal episode at Mount Etna on 12–13 January 2011 produced in ∼4 hours lava fountains and fast‐moving lava flows 4.3 km long. We produced timely predictions of the areas likely to be inundated by lava flows while the eruption was still ongoing. We employed infrared satellite data (MODIS, AVHRR, SEVIRI) to estimate in near‐realtime lava eruption rates (peak value of 60 m3 s−1). These time‐varying discharge rates were then used to drive MAGFLOW simulations to chart the spread of lava as a function of time. Based on a classification on durations and lava volumes of ∼130 paroxysms at Etna in the past 13 years, and on lava flow path simulations of expected eruptions, we constructed a lava flow invasion hazard map for summit eruptions, providing a rapid response to the impending hazard. This allowed key at‐risk areas to be rapidly and appropriately identified.en
dc.description.sponsorshipWe are grateful to EUMETSAT for SEVIRI data, to NASA for MODIS data, and toNOAAfor AVHRR data. The authors thank one anonymous reviewer and V. Acocella for their helpful and constructive comments. This study was performed with the financial support from the V3‐LAVA project (INGV‐DPC 2007‐2009 contract).en
dc.language.isoEnglishen
dc.publisher.nameAmerican Geophysical Union.en
dc.relation.ispartofGeophysical Researh Lettersen
dc.relation.ispartofseries/38 (2011)en
dc.subjectlava hazarden
dc.subjectEtnaen
dc.titleNear‐real‐time forecasting of lava flow hazards during the 12–13 January 2011 Etna eruptionen
dc.title.alternativeFORECASTING OF LAVA FLOW HAZARDS AT ETNAen
dc.typearticleen
dc.description.statusPublisheden
dc.type.QualityControlPeer-revieweden
dc.description.pagenumberL13317en
dc.identifier.URLhttp://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2011/2011GL047545.shtmlen
dc.subject.INGV04. Solid Earth::04.01. Earth Interior::04.01.99. General or miscellaneousen
dc.subject.INGV04. Solid Earth::04.04. Geology::04.04.99. General or miscellaneousen
dc.subject.INGV04. Solid Earth::04.08. Volcanology::04.08.99. General or miscellaneousen
dc.subject.INGV04. Solid Earth::04.08. Volcanology::04.08.03. Magmasen
dc.subject.INGV04. Solid Earth::04.08. Volcanology::04.08.06. Volcano monitoringen
dc.subject.INGV04. Solid Earth::04.08. Volcanology::04.08.07. Instruments and techniquesen
dc.subject.INGV04. Solid Earth::04.08. Volcanology::04.08.08. Volcanic risken
dc.subject.INGV05. General::05.01. Computational geophysics::05.01.02. Cellular automata, fuzzy logic, genetic alghoritms, neural networksen
dc.subject.INGV05. General::05.02. Data dissemination::05.02.03. Volcanic eruptionsen
dc.subject.INGV05. General::05.08. Risk::05.08.99. General or miscellaneousen
dc.identifier.doi10.1029/2011GL047545, 2011en
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dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico1.5. TTC - Sorveglianza dell'attività eruttiva dei vulcanien
dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico1.10. TTC - Telerilevamentoen
dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico3.6. Fisica del vulcanismoen
dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico4.3. TTC - Scenari di pericolosità vulcanicaen
dc.description.journalTypeJCR Journalen
dc.description.fulltextreserveden
dc.contributor.authorVicari, A.en
dc.contributor.authorGanci, G.en
dc.contributor.authorBehncke, B.en
dc.contributor.authorCappello, A.en
dc.contributor.authorNeri, M.en
dc.contributor.authorDel Negro, C.en
dc.contributor.departmentIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione OE, Catania, Italiaen
dc.contributor.departmentIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione OE, Catania, Italiaen
dc.contributor.departmentIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione OE, Catania, Italiaen
dc.contributor.departmentIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione OE, Catania, Italiaen
dc.contributor.departmentIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione OE, Catania, Italiaen
dc.contributor.departmentIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione OE, Catania, Italiaen
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crisitem.author.deptIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Irpinia, Grottaminarda, Italia-
crisitem.author.deptIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione OE, Catania, Italia-
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crisitem.author.deptIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione OE, Catania, Italia-
crisitem.author.deptIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione OE, Catania, Italia-
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crisitem.author.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
crisitem.author.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
crisitem.author.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
crisitem.author.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
crisitem.author.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
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crisitem.classification.parent04. Solid Earth-
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crisitem.department.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
crisitem.department.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
crisitem.department.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
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