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Authors: Crisci, G.*
Avolio, M. V.*
Behncke, B.*
D'Ambrosio, D.*
Di Gregorio, S.*
Lupiano, V.*
Neri, M.*
Rongo, R.*
Spataro, W.*
Title: Predicting the impact of lava flows at Mount Etna (Italy)
Title of journal: Journal of Geophysical Research
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
Issue Date: 2009
DOI: 10.1029/2009JB006431
Keywords: lava flows
hazard evaluation
Abstract: Forecasting the time, nature and impact of future eruptions is difficult at volcanoes such as Mount Etna, in Italy, where eruptions occur from the summit and on the flanks, affecting areas distant from each other. Nonetheless, the identification and quantification of areas at risk from new eruptions is fundamental for mitigating potential human casualties and material damage. Here, we present new results from the application of a methodology to define flexible high-resolution lava invasion susceptibility maps based on a reliable computational model for simulating lava flows at Etna and on a validation procedure for assessing the correctness of susceptibility mapping in the study area. Furthermore, specific scenarios can be extracted at any time from the simulation database, for land-use and civil defence planning in the long-term, to quantify, in real-time, the impact of an imminent eruption, and to assess the efficiency of protective measures.
Appears in Collections:Papers Published / Papers in press
04.04.99. General or miscellaneous
04.08.99. General or miscellaneous
04.08.08. Volcanic risk
05.01.99. General or miscellaneous
05.01.02. Cellular automata, fuzzy logic, genetic alghoritms, neural networks
05.02.99. General or miscellaneous
05.02.03. Volcanic eruptions
05.08.99. General or miscellaneous
05.09.99. General or miscellaneous

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