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Probabilistic volcanic hazard assessment and eruption forecasting: the Bayesian Event Tree approach
Language
English
Obiettivo Specifico
Status
Published
Pages Number
77-89
Refereed
No
Issued date
2008
Abstract
The purpose of this report is to discuss in detail the importance and prerogatives of quantitative volcanic hazard assessment and to describe the main features of a Bayesian model designed to achieve this goal. Ideas, models and results come out from the work made in the framework of the INGV-DPC V4 project, and partially from the application of the technique to Campi Flegrei (V3_2) and Vesuvius (V3_4). Here, we examine in depth the practical and philosophical implications of the approach, and report only a brief summary of the technical details that can be found on the cited literature.
Type
book chapter
File(s)
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Name
BET_VH_V4.pdf
Size
226.51 KB
Format
Adobe PDF
Checksum (MD5)
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