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http://hdl.handle.net/2122/4677| Authors: | Marzocchi, W.* Selva, J.* Sandri, L.* |
Editors: | Marzocchi, W. Zollo, A. |
Title: | Probabilistic volcanic hazard assessment and eruption forecasting: the Bayesian Event Tree approach | Issue Date: | 2008 | Keywords: | Bayesian Event Tree Probabilistic volcanic hazard Probabilistic eruption Forecasting |
Subject Classification: | 04. Solid Earth::04.08. Volcanology::04.08.08. Volcanic risk | Abstract: | The purpose of this report is to discuss in detail the importance and prerogatives of quantitative volcanic hazard assessment and to describe the main features of a Bayesian model designed to achieve this goal. Ideas, models and results come out from the work made in the framework of the INGV-DPC V4 project, and partially from the application of the technique to Campi Flegrei (V3_2) and Vesuvius (V3_4). Here, we examine in depth the practical and philosophical implications of the approach, and report only a brief summary of the technical details that can be found on the cited literature. |
| Appears in Collections: | Book chapters |
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| File | Description | Size | Format | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BET_VH_V4.pdf | 226.51 kB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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