Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2122/4578
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dc.contributor.authorallMucciarelli, M.; Dipartimento di Strutture, Geotecnica, Geologia Applicata all'Ingegneria, Università della Basilicataen
dc.contributor.authorallAlbarello, D.; Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra, Università di Sienaen
dc.contributor.authorallD'Amico, V.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Milano-Pavia, Milano, Italiaen
dc.date.accessioned2008-12-10T15:42:15Zen
dc.date.available2008-12-10T15:42:15Zen
dc.date.issued2008-12en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2122/4578en
dc.description.abstractMacroseismic intensity has recently attracted attention as a tool for validating probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) studies or as an alternative method for PSHA in countries where the historical catalog is much longer than the instrumental one. In Italy, the new seismic hazard map was recently produced using the Cornell–McGuire approach in terms of the peak ground acceleration characterized by a 10% exceedance probability for an exposure time of 50 yr (Amax). We compare this map with an alternative one, produced using a different approach based on a nonparametric and zonation-free statistical analysis of local seismic histories. In this case, results are expressed in terms of the maximum intensity corresponding to an exceedance probability of not less than 10% for an exposure time of 50 yr (Iref ). In order to compare the two maps, we selected 1401 control sites, where local seismic history includes at least 10 intensity values relative to felt effects documented during past earthquakes. The values of Amax and Iref at these sites have been ranked in the respective domains. The spatial distribution of rank differences of Amax and Iref values shows a strong correlation with the seismogenic zoning used in the calculation of PSHA following the Cornell–McGuire approach. This suggests that the adopted zoning could be incomplete (some further “hidden” sources may exist) and too rough to capture actual seismogenic sources. Because more detailed zoning is prevented by the amount of data available, the results obtained suggest the preference of zonation-free approaches for seismic hazard assessment in Italy. Furthermore, among the possible zonation-free approaches, those that offer better exploitation of local information about the effects of past earthquakes would be preferred.en
dc.language.isoEnglishen
dc.publisher.nameSeismological Society of Americaen
dc.relation.ispartofBulletin of the Seismological Society of Americaen
dc.relation.ispartofseries6/98(2008)en
dc.subjectprobabilistic seismic hazard estimatesen
dc.subjectstatistical analysisen
dc.subjectItalyen
dc.titleComparison of Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Estimates in Italyen
dc.typearticleen
dc.description.statusPublisheden
dc.type.QualityControlPeer-revieweden
dc.description.pagenumber2652–2664en
dc.subject.INGV04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.11. Seismic risken
dc.subject.INGV05. General::05.01. Computational geophysics::05.01.04. Statistical analysisen
dc.identifier.doi10.1785/0120080077en
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dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico4.2. TTC - Scenari e mappe di pericolosità sismicaen
dc.description.journalTypeJCR Journalen
dc.description.fulltextreserveden
dc.contributor.authorMucciarelli, M.en
dc.contributor.authorAlbarello, D.en
dc.contributor.authorD'Amico, V.en
dc.contributor.departmentDipartimento di Strutture, Geotecnica, Geologia Applicata all'Ingegneria, Università della Basilicataen
dc.contributor.departmentDipartimento di Scienze della Terra, Università di Sienaen
dc.contributor.departmentIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Milano, Milano, Italiaen
item.openairetypearticle-
item.cerifentitytypePublications-
item.languageiso639-1en-
item.grantfulltextrestricted-
item.openairecristypehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf-
item.fulltextWith Fulltext-
crisitem.author.deptDipartimento di Scienze Fisiche, della Terra e dell’Ambiente, University of Siena-
crisitem.author.deptIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Pisa, Pisa, Italia-
crisitem.author.orcid0000-0002-9226-4681-
crisitem.author.orcid0000-0002-6133-6750-
crisitem.author.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
crisitem.classification.parent04. Solid Earth-
crisitem.classification.parent05. General-
crisitem.department.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
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