Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2122/4573
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dc.contributor.authorallAlbarello, D.; Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra, Università di Sienaen
dc.contributor.authorallD'Amico, V.; Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione Milano-Pavia, Milano, Italiaen
dc.date.accessioned2008-12-10T15:28:19Zen
dc.date.available2008-12-10T15:28:19Zen
dc.date.issued2008-12en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2122/4573en
dc.description.abstractAn evaluation of the actual reliability of probabilistic seismic hazard (PSH) assessments, provided by existing numerical techniques, is mandatory to orientate new researches and improvements. Two procedures devoted to this task are proposed, which are based on the comparison of the hazard estimates with empirical observations (e.g. strong-motion data). These procedures have been applied to the estimates provided by the methodology adopted for most recent seismic hazard evaluations in Italy. The analysis shows that a significant mismatch exists between peak ground acceleration values characterized by an exceedence probability of 10 per cent in 30 yr and what has actually been observed at 68 accelerometric stations located on stiff soil, where continuous seismicity monitoring has been performed in the last 30 yr. Although this finding should be considered with caution, it suggests that a future re-examination of the adopted PSH computational model could be useful to avoid possible underestimates of seismic hazard in Italy.en
dc.language.isoEnglishen
dc.publisher.nameBlackwell Publishingen
dc.relation.ispartofGeophysical Journal Internationalen
dc.relation.ispartofseries3/175(2008)en
dc.subjectprobabilistic seismic hazard estimatesen
dc.subjectstatistical seismologyen
dc.subjectItalyen
dc.titleTesting probabilistic seismic hazard estimates by comparison with observations: an example in Italyen
dc.typearticleen
dc.description.statusPublisheden
dc.type.QualityControlPeer-revieweden
dc.description.pagenumber1088–1094en
dc.subject.INGV04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.11. Seismic risken
dc.subject.INGV05. General::05.01. Computational geophysics::05.01.04. Statistical analysisen
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/j.1365-246X.2008.03928.xen
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dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico4.2. TTC - Scenari e mappe di pericolosità sismicaen
dc.description.journalTypeJCR Journalen
dc.description.fulltextreserveden
dc.contributor.authorAlbarello, D.en
dc.contributor.authorD'Amico, V.en
dc.contributor.departmentDipartimento di Scienze della Terra, Università di Sienaen
dc.contributor.departmentIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Milano, Milano, Italiaen
item.openairetypearticle-
item.cerifentitytypePublications-
item.languageiso639-1en-
item.grantfulltextrestricted-
item.openairecristypehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf-
item.fulltextWith Fulltext-
crisitem.author.deptDipartimento di Scienze Fisiche, della Terra e dell’Ambiente, University of Siena-
crisitem.author.deptIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Pisa, Pisa, Italia-
crisitem.author.orcid0000-0002-9226-4681-
crisitem.author.orcid0000-0002-6133-6750-
crisitem.author.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
crisitem.classification.parent04. Solid Earth-
crisitem.classification.parent05. General-
crisitem.department.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
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