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Authors: Montaldo, V.*
Faccioli, E.*
Zonno, G.*
Akinci, A.*
Malagnini, L.*
Title: Treatment of ground-motion predictive relationships for the reference seismic hazard map of Italy
Title of journal: Journal of seismology
Series/Report no.: /9 (2005)
Publisher: springer
Issue Date: 2005
Keywords: epicentral and Joyner-Boore distance
epistemic uncertainty,
predictive relationships
seismic hazard mapping
scaling laws
volcanic regions
Abstract: In the framework of the 2004 reference seismic hazard map of Italy the amplitude of the strong-motion (expressed in terms of Peak Horizontal Acceleration with 10% probability of non-exceedence in 50 years, referred to average hard ground conditions) was computed using different predictive relationships. Equations derived in Italy and in Europe from strong-motion data, as well as a set of weak and strong-motion based empirical predictive relationships were employed in a logic tree procedure, in order to capture the epistemic uncertainty affecting ground-motion attenuation. This article describes the adjustments and conversions required to eliminate the incompatibilities amongst the relations. Particularly significant are distance conversions and style-of-faulting adjustments, as well as the problems related to the use of regional relations, such as the selection of a reference depth, the quantification of random variability and the strong-motion prediction. Moreover, a regional attenuation relationship specific for volcanic areas was also employed, allowing a more realistic evaluation of seismic hazard, as confirmed by the attenuation of macroseismic intensities.
Appears in Collections:04.06.11. Seismic risk
Papers Published / Papers in press

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