Earth-prints repository, logo   Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia

Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia
 
|earth-prints home page | roma library | bologna library | catania library | milano library | napoli library | palermo library

Advanced Search
Earth-Prints Archive Policy
Why should you use Earth-prints?
 
Browse
Subjects
Titles
Authors
By Date
Keywords
 
Sign on to:
Receive email
updates
My DSpace
authorized users
Edit Profile
 
About DSpace

Earth-prints >
Affiliation >
INGV >
Manuscripts >

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2122/3556

Share this record with your favourite social network:     Del.icio.us     Citeulike     Connotea
Facebook     Stumble it!     reddit    
Title: Scenarios of earthquake-generated tsunamis in the Adriatic Sea
Authors: Tiberti, M. M.*
Lorito, S.*
Basili, R.*
Kastelic, V.*
Piatanesi, A.*
Valensise, G.*
Keywords: Tsunamis
Adriatic Sea
seismotectonics
active faulting
seismic hazard
tsunami hazard
Issue Date: 2008
Title of journal: Pure and Applied Geophysics
Abstract: We calculated the expected impact on the Italian coast of the Adriatic Sea of a large set of tsunamis resulting from potential earthquakes generated by major fault zones. Our approach merges updated knowledge on the regional tectonics and scenario-like calculations of expected tsunami impact. We selected six elongated potential source zones. For each of them we determined a Maximum Credible Earthquake and the associated Typical Fault, described by its size, geometry and kinematics. We then let the Typical Fault float along strike of its parent source zone and simulated all tsunamis it could trigger. Simulations are based on the solution of the nonlinear shallow water equations through a finite-difference technique. For each run we calculated the wave fields at specified simulation times and the Maximum Water Elevation field, then generated travel-time maps and maximum wave-height profiles along the target coastline. Maxima were also classified in a three-level code of expected tsunami threat. We found that the southern portion of Apulia facing Albania and the Gargano promontory are especially prone to the tsunami threat. We also found that some bathymetric features are crucial in determining the focalization-defocalization of tsunami energy. We suggest that our results be taken into account in the design of early-warning strategies.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2122/3556
Appears in Collections:03.01.01. Analytical and numerical modeling
Manuscripts
04.06.03. Earthquake source and dynamics
04.04.01. Earthquake geology and paleoseismology

Files in This Item:

File Description SizeFormat
Tiberti_etal_AdriaticSea_PAGEOPH.pdfSubmitted manuscript5.43MbAdobe PDFView/Open
  • Akkar, S., and Glavatovic, B. (2007) Harmonization of seismic hazard maps for the western balkan
  • countries, Project plan, Submitted to the Science for Peace and Security Programme, Public
  • 4 Diplomacy Division, NATO, http://www.seismo.cg.yu/PROJECT%20PROPOSAL.pdf.
  • Aliaj, S., The Albanian orogen: convergence zone between Eurasia and the Adria microplate, in:
  • The Adria Microplate: GPS Geodesy, Tectonics and Hazards (eds. N. Pinter et al.), (Springer,
  • Netherlands, 2006), pp.133-149.
  • Aliaj, S., J. Adams, S. Halchuk, E. Sulstarova, V. Peçi, and B. Muço (2004), Probabilistic seismic
  • hazard maps for Albania, 13th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Vancouver,
  • B.C., Canada, August 1-6, Paper No. 2469.
  • Aljinović, B., Prelogović, E., Skoko, D. (1990), Tectonic processes on the contact of the Adriatic
  • Platform and the Dinarides in the area of the Northern Dalmatia. Conf. on mechanics of
  • jointed and faulted rock, Inst. of Mech/Tech. Univ. of Vienna, Proc. A. A. Balkema,
  • Rotterdam/Brookfield, 179– 182.
  • Allen, S. C. R., and Greenslade, D. J. M. (2007), Developing tsunami warnings from numerical
  • model output, Nat. Hazards, doi: 10.1007/s11069-007-9180-8, in press.
  • Altinier, Y., Bačić, Z., Bašić, T., Medved, M., Mulić, M., and Nurçe, B. (2007), Motion of the
  • Adria plate inferred from GPS observations, Geophysical Research Abstracts 9, 02642.
  • Ambraseys, N. N. (1962), Data for the investigation of seismic sea waves in the Eastern
  • Mediterranean, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 52, 895–913.
  • Argnani, A., Favali, P., Frugoni, F., Gasperini, M., Ligi, M., Marani, M., Matietti, G., and Mele, G.
  • (1993), Foreland deformational pattern in the Southern Adriatic, Ann. Geofis. 36, 229–247.
  • Argnani, A., Bonazzi, C., Evangelisti, D., Favali, P., Frugoni, F., Gasperini, M., Ligi, M., Marani,
  • M., and Mele, G. (1996), Tettonica dell’Adriatico Meridionale, Mem. Soc. Geol. It. 51, 227-
  • 237.
  • Ballauri, A., Bega, Z., Meehan, P., Gambini, R., and Klammer, W. (2002), Exploring in structurally
  • complex thrust belt: Southwest Albania Case, AAPG Hedberg Conference, May 14-18, 2002,
  • Palermo-Mondello (Sicily, Italy).
  • Basili, R., and Barba, S. (2007) Migration and shortening rates in the northern Apennines, Italy:
  • implications for seismic hazard, Terra Nova 19, 462–468, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-
  • 3121.2007.00772.x.
  • Basili, R., Valensise, G., Vannoli, P., Burrato, P., Fracassi, U., Mariano, S., Tiberti, M. M., and
  • Boschi, E. (2008), The Database of Individual Seismogenic Sources (DISS), version 3:
  • summarizing 20 years of research on Italy’s earthquake geology, Tectonophysics, in press.
  • Battaglia, M., Murray, M. H., Serpelloni, E., and Bürgmann, R. (2004), The Adriatic region: an
  • independent microplate within the Africa-Eurasia collision zone, Geophys. Res. Lett. 31,
  • L09605, doi:10.1029/2004GL019723.
  • Bedosti, B., and Caputo, M. (1986), Primo aggiornamento del catalogo dei maremoti delle coste
  • italiane, Atti della Accademia Nazionale dei Lincei, Rendiconti Classe Scienze Fisiche,
  • Matematiche, Naturali s.VIII, 80, 570–584.
  • Benetatos, C., and Kiratzi, A. (2006) Finite-fault slip models for the 15 April 1979 (Mw 7.1)
  • Montenegro earthquake and its strongest aftershock of 24 May 1979 (Mw 6.2),
  • Tectonophysics 421, 129–143.
  • Boschi, E., Guidoboni, E., Ferrari, G., Mariotti, D., Valensise, G., and Gasperini, P. (eds.) (2000),
  • Catalogue of strong italian earthquakes from 461 B.C. to 1997, Ann. Geofis. 43, with CDRom,
  • 259 pp.
  • Bosellini, A., Neri, C., and Luciani, V. (1993), Platform margin collapses and sequence
  • stratigraphic organization of carbonate slopes: Cretaceous-Eocene, Gargano Promontory,
  • Terra Nova 5, 282-297.
  • Burbidge, D., and Cummins, P. (2007), Assessing the threat to Western Australia from tsunami
  • generated by earthquakes along the Sunda Arc, Nat. Hazards 43, 319-331,
  • doi:10.1007/s11069-007-9116-3.
  • Caputo, M., and Faita, G. (1984), Primo catalogo dei maremoti delle coste italiane, Atti Accademia
  • Nazionale dei Lincei, Memorie Classe Scienze Fisiche, Matematiche, Naturali, s. VIII, 17,
  • 213–356, Roma.
  • Casero, P., Rigamonti, A., and Iocca, M. (1990), Paleogeographic relationships during Cretaceous
  • between the Northern Adriatic area and the Eastern Southern Alps, Mem. Soc. Geol. It., 45,
  • 807-814.
  • Chiarabba, C., De Gori, P., Chiaraluce, L., Bordoni, P., Cattaneo, M., De Martin, M., Frepoli, A.,
  • Michelini, A., Monachesi, A., Moretti, M., Augliera, G.P., D'Alema, E., Frapiccini, M., Gassi,
  • A., Marzorati, S., Di Bartolomeo, P., Gentile, S., Covoni, A., Lovisa, L., Romanelli, M.,
  • Ferretti, G., Pasta, M., Spallarossa, D., and Zumino, E. (2005), Mainshocks and aftershocks of
  • the 2002 Molise seismic sequence, southern Italy, J. Seismol. 9, 487–494.
  • Chilovi, C., De Feyter, A. J., and Pompucci, A. (2000), Wrench zone reactivation in the Adriatic
  • Block: the example of the Mattinata Fault System (SE Italy), Boll. Soc. Geol. It. 119, 3-8.
  • Cocard, M., Kahle, H.-G., Peter, Y., Geiger, A., Veis, G., Felekis, S., Paradissis, D., and Billiris,
  • H. (1999) New constraints on the rapid crustal motion of the Aegean region: recent results
  • inferred from GPS measurements (1993–1998) across the West Hellenic Arc, Greece, Earth
  • and Planetary Science Letters 172, 39–47.
  • Console, R., and Favali, P. (1981), Study of the Montenegro earthquake sequence (March–July
  • 1979), Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 71, 1,233–1,248.
  • Del Ben, A. (2002), Interpretation of the CROP M-16 seismic section in the Central Adriatic Sea,
  • Mem. Soc. Geol. It. 57, 327-333.
  • Del Gaudio, V., Pierri, P., Frepoli, A., Calcagnile, G., Venisti, N., and Cimini, G.B. (2007) A
  • critical revision of the seismicity of Northern Apulia (Adriatic microplate — Southern Italy)
  • and implications for the identification of seismogenic structures, Tectonophysics 436, 9–35.
  • De Martini, P. M., Burrato, P., Pantosti, D., Maramai, A., Graziani, L., and Abramson, H. (2003),
  • Identification of tsunami deposits and liquefaction features in the Gargano area (Italy):
  • paleoseismological implication. Ann. Geophys.-Italy 46, 5, 883-902.
  • Di Bucci, D., and Mazzoli, S. (2003), The October-November 2002 Molise seismic sequence
  • (southern Italy): an expression of Adria intraplate deformation, J. Geol. Soc. London 160,
  • 503-506.
  • Di Bucci, D., Ravaglia, A., Seno, S., Toscani, G., Fracassi, U., and Valensise, G. (2007), Modes of
  • fault reactivation from analogue modeling experiments:Implications for the seismotectonics of
  • the Southern Adriatic foreland (Italy), Quaternary International 171–172, 2–13.
  • DISS Working Group (2007), Database of Individual Seismogenic Sources (DISS), Version 3.0.4:
  • A compilation of potential sources for earthquakes larger than M 5.5 in Italy and surrounding
  • areas, http://www.ingv.it/DISS/.
  • Doglioni, C. (1991), A proposal for the kinematics modelling of the W-dipping subductionspossible
  • application to the Tyrrhenian-Apennines system. Terra Nova 3, 423-434.
  • Doglioni, C., Mongelli, F., and Pieri, P. (1994), The Puglia uplift (SE Italy): An anomaly in the
  • foreland of the Apenninic subduction due to buckling of a thick continental lithosphere,
  • Tectonics 13, 1309-1321.
  • Dragašević, T. (1983), Oil geologic exploration in the Montenegro offshore in Yugoslavia, Nafta 7-
  • 8, 397-404.
  • Duni, L., Kuka N., and Dushi, E. (2003), Monitoring of seismicity in Albania. CSEM Newsletter n.
  • 20, September 2003, 13-16, www.emsc-csem.org.
  • Finetti, I.R., and Del Ben, A., Crustal tectono-stratigraphic setting of the Adriatic Sea from new
  • CROP seismic data, in: CROP, Deep seismic exploration of the Mediterranean region, (ed.I
  • R.Finetti), (Elsevier, 2005).
  • Fracassi, U., and Valensise, G. (2007), Unveiling the sources of the catastrophic 1456 multiple
  • earthquake: Hints to an unexplored tectonic mechanism in Southern Italy, Bull. Seismol. Soc.
  • Am. 97, 3, 725-748, 10.1785/0120050250.
  • Franciosi, R., and Vignolo, A. (2002), Northern Adriatic foreland - a promising setting for the
  • southalpine midtriassic petroleum system, EAGE 64th Conference & Exhibition — Florence,
  • Italy, 27 - 30 May 2002.
  • Graham Wall, B.R., Girbacea, R., Mesonjesi, A., and Aydin A. (2006), Evolution of fracture and
  • fault-controlled fluid pathways in carbonates of the Albanides fold-thrust belt, Am. Ass.
  • Petroleum Geologists Bull. 90, 8, 1227-1249, doi:10.1306/03280304014.
  • Grenerczy, G., Sella, G,. Stein, S., and Kenyeres, A. (2005), Tectonic implications of the GPS
  • velocity field in the northern Adriatic region, Geophys. Res. Lett. 32, L16311,
  • doi:10.1029/2005GL022947.
  • Gruppo di lavoro CPTI (2004), Catalogo Parametrico dei Terremoti Italiani, versione 2004
  • (CPTI04). INGV, Bologna (also available at: http://emidius.mi.ingv.it/CPTI04/).
  • Guidoboni E., Ferrari, G., Mariotti, D., Comastri, A., Tarabusi, G., and Valensise, G. (2007),
  • CFTI4Med, Catalogue of Strong Earthquakes in Italy (461 B.C.-1997) and Mediterranean
  • Area (760 B.C.-1500), INGV-SGA, available at http://storing.ingv.it/cfti4med/.
  • Herak, M.J. (1991), Dinarides. Mobilistic view of the genesis and structure, Acta Geologica 21, 35–
  • 117.
  • Herak, M.J. (1999), Tectonic interrelation of the Dinarides and the Southern Alps, Geologica
  • Croatica 52, 83– 98.
  • Herak, M., Herak, D., and Markušić, S. (1995), Fault plane solutions for earthquakes (1956–1995)
  • in Croatia and neighbouring regions, Geofizika 12, 43– 56.
  • Herak, M., Herak, D., and Markušić, S. (1996), Revision of the earthquake catalogue and seismicity
  • of Croatia, 1908–1992, Terra Nova 8, 86– 94.
  • Herak, D., Herak, M., Prelogović, E., Markušić, S. and Markulin, Ž. (2005), Jabuka island (Central
  • Adriatic Sea) earthquakes of 2003, Tectonophysics 398, 167– 180.
  • Herak, M., Orlić, M., and Kunovec-Varga, M. (2001), Did the Makarska earthquake of 1962
  • generate a tsunami in the central Adriatic arcipelago?, J. of Geodyn. 31, 71-86.
  • Hollenstein, C., Kahle, H.-G., and Geiger, A., Plate tectonic framework and GPS-derived strain-rate
  • field within the boundary zones of the Eurasian and African plates, in: The Adria Microplate:
  • GPS Geodesy, Tectonics and Hazards (eds. N. Pinter et al.), (Springer, Netherlands, 2006),
  • pp. 35-50.
  • Hollenstein, Ch., Kahle, H.-G., Geiger, A., Jenny, S., Goes, S., and Giardini, D. (2003), New GPS
  • constraints on the Africa-Eurasia plate boundary zone in southern Italy, Geophys. Res. Lett.
  • 30, 18, 1935, doi:10.1029/2003GL017554.
  • International Seismological Centre (2004), On-line Bulletin (http://www.isc.ac.uk) Internatl. Seis.
  • Cent. (Thatcham, United Kingdom).
  • Ivanović, A., Sakač, K., Marković, S., Sokač, B., Šušnjar, M., Nikler, L. and Šušnjara, A. (1976),
  • Osnovna geološka karta SFRJ, list Obredovac, 1:100000. Inst. geol. istraž., Zagreb (1967),
  • Savezni geol. zavod, Beograd.
  • Ivančić, I., Herak, D., Markušić, S., Sović, I. and Herak, M. (2006), Seismicity of Croatia in the
  • period 2002-2005. Geofizika 23, 87-103.
  • Kahle, H.-G., Cocard, M., Peter, Y,. Geiger, A., Reilinger, R., Barka, A., and Veis, G. (2000), GPSderived
  • strain rate field within the boundary zones of the Eurasian, African and Arabian
  • Plates, J. Geophys. Res. 105(B10), 23,353-23,370, doi: 10.1029/2000JB900238, 2000.
  • Kahle, H.-G., Müller, M.V., and Veis, G. (1996) Trajectories of crustal deformation of Western
  • Greece from GPS observations 1989-1994, Geophys. Res. Lett. 23, 6, 677-680.
  • Kahle, H-G., Straub, C., Reilinger, R., McClusky, S., King, R., Hurst, K., Veis, G., Kastens, K., and
  • Cross, P. (1998), The strain rate field in the eastern Mediterranean region, estimated by
  • repeated GPS measurements, Tectonophysics 294, 237-252.
  • Kowalik, Z., Horrillo, J., Knight, W., and Logan, T. (2008), Kuril Islands tsunami of November
  • 2006: 1. Impact at Crescent City by distant scattering, J. Geophys. Res.,
  • doi:10.1029/2007JC004402, in press.
  • Kuk, V., Prelogović, E. and Dragičević, I. (2000), Seismotectonically Active Zones in the
  • Dinarides, Geologica Croatica 53, 295-303.
  • Lavecchia, G., De Nardis, R., Visini, F., Ferrarini, F. and Barbano, M.S., (2007), Seismogenic
  • evidence of ongoing compression in eastern-central Italy and mainland Sicily: a comparison.
  • Boll. Soc. Geol. Ital. (Ital. J. Geosci.) 126, 209–222.
  • Lawrence, S.R., Tari-Kovačić, V., and Gjukić, B. (1995), Geological evolution model of the
  • Dinarides, Nafta 46, 103-113.
  • Lorito, S., Tiberti, M. M., Basili, R., Piatanesi, A., and Valensise, G. (2008), Earthquake-generated
  • tsunamis in the Mediterranean Sea: Scenarios of potential threats to Southern Italy, J.
  • Geophys. Res. 113, B01301, doi:10.1029/2007JB004943.
  • Louvari, E., Kiratzi, A.A., and Papazachos, B.C. (1999), The Cefalonia Transform Fault and its
  • extension to western Lefkada Island (Greece), Tectonophysics 308, 223-236.
  • Mader, C. L. (2001), Numerical modeling of water waves, Los Alamos series in Basic and Applied
  • Sciences (CRC Press, Boca Raton, Florida, 2001), 206 pp.
  • Mamuzić, P. (1975), Osnovna geološka karta SFRJ, list Šibenik, 1:100000. Inst. geol. istraž.,
  • Zagreb (1966), Savezni geol. zavod, Beograd.
  • Maramai, A., Graziani, L., and Tinti, S. (2007), Investigation on tsunami effects in the central
  • Adriatic Sea during the last century – a contribution, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 7, 15–19.
  • Markušić, S., Herak, D., Ivančić, I., and Sović, I. (1998), Seismicity of Croatia in the period 1993–
  • 1996 and the Ston-Slano earthquake of 1996, Geofizika 15, 83–101.
  • McClusky, S., Balassanian, S., Barka, A., Demir, C., Ergintav, S., Georgiev, I., Gurkan, O.,
  • Hamburger, M., Hurst, K. Kahle, H. Kastens, K. Kekelidze, G. King, R. Kotzev, V. Lenk, O.
  • Mahmoud, S. Mishin, A. Nadariya, M. Ouzounis, A. Paradissis, D. Peter, Y. Prilepin, M.
  • Reilinger, R. Sanli, I. Seeger, H. Tealeb, A. Toksöz M. N. and Veis G. (2000), Global
  • Positioning System constraints on plate kinematics and dynamics in the eastern Mediterranean
  • and Caucasus, J. Geophys. Res. 105 (B3), 5695-5719, 10.1029/1999JB900351.
  • Meletti, C., Galadini, F., Valensise, G., Stucchi, M., Basili, R., Barba, S., Vannucci, G., Boschi, E.,
  • (2008), The ZS9 seismic source model for the seismic hazard assessment of the Italian
  • territory, Tectonophysics (in press).
  • Milano, G., Di Giovambattista, R., and Ventura, G. (2005), Seismic constraints on the present-day
  • kinematics of the Gargano foreland, Italy, at the transition zone between the southern and
  • northern Apennine belts, Geoph. Res. Lett. 32, L24308, doi:10.1029/2005GL024604.
  • Nocquet, J.-M., and Calais, E. (2004), Geodetic measurements of crustal deformation in the
  • Western Mediterranean and Europe, Pure Appl. Geophys. 161, 661–681, 10.1007/s00024-
  • 003-2468-z.
  • Okada, Y., (1985), Surface deformation due to shear and tensile faults in a half-space, Bull.
  • Seismol. Soc. Am. 75, 1135–1154.
  • Okada, Y., (1992), Internal deformation due to shear and tensile faults in a half-space, Bull.
  • Seismol. Soc. Am. 82, 1018-1040.
  • Olivieri, M., and Scognamiglio, L. 2007, Toward a Euro Mediterranean tsunami warning system:
  • The case of the February 12, 2007, Ml = 6.1 earthquake, Geoph. Res. Lett. 34, L24309,
  • doi:10.1029/2007GL031364.
  • Papaioannou, Ch. A., and Papazachos, B.C. (2000), Time-independent and time-dependent seismic
  • hazard in Greece based on seismogenic sources, B. Seismol. Soc. Am. 90, 1, 22-33.
  • Papazachos, B. C. and Dimitriu, P. P. Tsunamis in and near Greece and their relation to the
  • earthquake focal mechanisms. Natural Hazards 4, 161-170, 1991.
  • Papazachos, B., and Papazachou, C., The earthquakes of Greece (Ziti, Thessaloniki, Greece, 1997).