A single-station prediction model as a contribution to instantaneous mapping

Abstract

The paper presents two opposite approaches for single-station prediction and forecast. Both methods are based on different assumptions of physical processes in the ionosphere and need the different set of incoming data. Different heliogeophysical data, mainly f0F2 parameters from the past were analyzed for f0F2 obtaining for the requested period ahead. In the first method - the autocovariance prediction method - the time series of f0F2 from one station are used for daily forecast at that point. The second method may be used for obtaining f0F2 not only at the particular ionospheric station, but also at any point within the considered area.