Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2122/11669
Authors: Pinardi, Nadia* 
Cavaleri, L.* 
Coppini, Giovanni* 
De Mey, P.* 
Fratianni, Claudia* 
Huthnance, J.* 
Lermusiaux, P. F. J.* 
Navarra, Antonio* 
Preller, R.* 
Tibaldi, S.* 
Title: From weather to ocean predictions: an historical viewpoint
Issue Date: 2017
Series/Report no.: 3/73 (2017)
DOI: 10.1357/002224017821836789
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2122/11669
Keywords: atmospheric predictions, wave and sea level predictions, mesoscale predictions
Subject Classification03.03. Physical 
Abstract: This paper reviews the historical development of concepts and practices in the science of ocean predictions. It begins with meteorology, which conducted the first forecasting experiment in 1950, followed by wind waves, and continuing with tidal and storm surge predictions to arrive at the first successful ocean mesoscale forecast in 1983. The work of Professor A. R. Robinson of Harvard University, who produced the first mesoscale ocean predictions for the deep ocean regions is documented for the first time. The scientific and technological developments that made accurate ocean predictions possible are linked with the gradual understanding of the importance of the oceanic mesoscales and their inclusion in the numerical models. Ocean forecasting developed first at the regional level, due to the relatively low computational requirements, but by the end of the 1990s, it was possible to produce global ocean uncoupled forecasts and coupled ocean-atmosphere seasonal forecasts.
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