Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://hdl.handle.net/2122/11655
DC Field | Value | Language |
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dc.date.accessioned | 2018-04-05T10:30:55Z | en |
dc.date.available | 2018-04-05T10:30:55Z | en |
dc.date.issued | 2018-02 | en |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/2122/11655 | en |
dc.description.abstract | The application of a physics-based earthquake simulation algorithm to the Central Apennines, where the 2016-2017 seismic sequence occurred, allowed the compilation of a synthetic seismic catalog lasting 100 kyr, and containing more than 500,000 M ≥ 4.0 events, without limitations in terms of completeness, homogeneity and time duration. This simulator is based on an algorithm constrained by several faulting and source parameters. The seismogenic model upon which we applied the simulator code, was derived from the Database of Individual Seismogenic Sources including all the fault systems that are recognized in the Central Apennines. The application of our simulation algorithm provides typical features in time, space and magnitude behavior of the seismicity, which are comparable with the observations. These features include long-term periodicity and a realistic earthquake magnitude distribution. The statistical distribution of earthquakes with M ≥ 6.0 on single faults exhibits a fairly clear pseudo-periodic behavior, with a coefficient of variation Cv of the order of 0.4-0.8. We found in our synthetic catalog a clear trend of long-term acceleration of seismic activity preceding M ≥ 6.0 earthquakes and quiescence following those earthquakes. Lastly, as an example of a possible use of synthetic catalogs, an attenuation law was applied to all the events reported in the synthetic catalog for the production of maps showing the exceedance probability of given values of peak acceleration (PGA) in the investigated territory. | en |
dc.language.iso | English | en |
dc.relation.ispartof | Geophysical Journal International | en |
dc.relation.ispartofseries | /212 (2018) | en |
dc.rights | CC0 1.0 Universal | en |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/ | en |
dc.subject | Numerical modelling | en |
dc.subject | Earthquake simulator | en |
dc.subject | Statistical methods | en |
dc.subject | Earthquake hazards | en |
dc.subject | Central Apennines | en |
dc.title | The seismicity of the Central Apennines (Italy) studied by means of a physics-based earthquake simulator | en |
dc.type | article | en |
dc.description.status | Published | en |
dc.type.QualityControl | Peer-reviewed | en |
dc.description.pagenumber | 916-929 | en |
dc.identifier.URL | https://academic.oup.com/gji/article/212/2/916/4555380 | en |
dc.subject.INGV | 04.06. Seismology | en |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1093/gji/ggx451 | en |
dc.relation.references | Basili, R., Valensise, G., Vannoli, P., Burrato, P., Fracassi, U., Mariano, S., Tiberti, M.M. & Boschi, E., 2008. The Database of Individual Seismogenic Sources (DISS), version 3: summarizing 20 years of research on Italy's earthquake geology, Tectonophysics, 453(1-4), 20-53, doi:10.1016/j.tecto.2007.04.014. Console, R., Carluccio, R., Papadimitriou, E. & Karakostas, V., 2015. Synthetic earthquake catalogs simulating seismic activity in the Corinth Gulf, Greece, fault system, J. Geophys. Res., 120(1), 326-343, doi:10.1002/2014JB011765. Console, R., Nardi, A., Carluccio, R., Murru, M., Falcone, G. & Parsons, T., 2017. A physics-based earthquake simulator and its application to seismic hazard assessment in Calabria (Southern Italy) region, Acta Geophys., 65, 243-257, doi:10.1007/s11600-017-0020-2. De Santis, A., Cianchini, G. & Di Giovambattista, R., 2015. Accelerating moment release revisited: examples of application to Italian seismic sequences, Tectonophysics, 639, 82-98, 10.1016/j.tecto.2014.11.015 Cornell, C.A., 1968. Engineering seismic risk analysis, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 58, 1583-1606. DISS Working Group, 2015. Database of Individual Seismogenic Sources (DISS), Version 3.2.0: A compilation of potential sources for earthquakes larger than M 5.5 in Italy and surrounding areas. http://diss.rm.ingv.it/diss/, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, doi:10.6092/INGV.IT-DISS3.2.0. Field, E.H., 2015. Computing Elastic-Rebound-Motivated Earthquake Probabilities in Unsegmented Fault Models: A New Methodology Supported by Physics-Based Simulators, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 105(2A), 544-559, doi:10.1785/0120140094. Galli, P., Peronace, E., Bramerini, F., Castenetto, S., Naso, G., Cassone, F. & Pallone, F., 2016. The MCS intensity distribution of the devastating 24 August 2016 earthquake in central Italy (MW 6.2), Ann. Geophys., 59(5), doi:10.4401/ag-7287. ISIDe Working Group, 2016. ISIDe, Italian Seismological Instrumental and parametric Database, version 1.0, doi:10.13127/ISIDe. Kagan, Y.Y., Jackson, D.D. & Geller R.J., 2012. Characteristic Earthquake Model, 1884-2011, R.I.P., Seism. Res. Lett., 83(6), doi:10.1785/0220120107. Kastelic, V., Vannoli, P., Burrato, P., Fracassi, U., Tiberti, M.M. & Valensise, G., 2013. Seismogenic sources in the Adriatic Domain, Mar. Petrol. Geol., 42, 191-213, doi:10.1016/j.marpetgeo.2012.08.002. Maesano, F.E., Toscani, G., Burrato, P., Mirabella, F., D'Ambrogi, C. & Basili, R., 2013. Deriving thrust fault slip rates from geological modeling: Examples from the Marche coastal and offshore contraction belt, northern Apennines, Italy, Mar. Petrol. Geol., 42, 122-134, doi:0.1016/j.marpetgeo.2012.10.008. Parsons, T., 2002. Post-1906 stress recovery of the San Andreas fault system calculated from three-dimensional finite element analysis. J. Geophys. Res., 107, B8, 10.1029/2001JB001051. Rovida, A., Locati, M. Camassi, R. Lolli, B. & Gasperini, P., (eds), 2016. CPTI15, the 2015 version of the Parametric Catalogue of Italian Earthquakes, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, doi:10.6092/INGV.IT-CPTI15. Sabetta, F. & Pugliese, A., 1987. Attenuation of peak horizontal acceleration and velocity from Italian strong motion records, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 77, 1491-1513. Schultz, K.W., Yoder, M.R., Wilson, J.M., Heien, E.M., Sachs, M.K., Rundle, J.B. & Turcotte, D.L. 2017. Parametrizing phyisics-based earthquake simulations, Pure Appl. Geophys., 174, 2269-2278, doi:10.1007/s00024-016-1428-3. Tertulliani, A. & Azzaro R., 2016. QUEST - Rilievo macrosismico per i terremoti nell’Italia centrale. Aggiornamento dopo le scosse del 26 e 30 ottobre 2016, INGV Internal Report, Roma, doi:10.5281/zenodo.182694. Tullis, T.E., 2012. Preface to the Focused Issue on Earthquake Simulators, Seism. Res. Lett., 83(6), 957-958, doi:10.1785/0220120122. Valensise, G. & Pantosti, D., 2001. The investigation of potential earthquake sources in peninsular Italy: a review, J. Seismol., 5(3), 287-306. Vannoli, P., Burrato, P., Fracassi, U. & Valensise G., 2012. A fresh look at the seismotectonics of the Abruzzi (Central Apennines) following the 6 April 2009 L'Aquila earthquake (Mw 6.3), Ital. J. Geosci., 131(3), 309-329, doi:10.3301/IJG.2012.03. Vannoli, P., Vannucci, G., Bernardi, F., Palombo, B. & Ferrari G., 2015. The source of the 30 October 1930, Mw 5.8, Senigallia (central Italy) earthquake: a convergent solution from instrumental, macroseismic and geological data, B. Seismol. Soc. Am., 105(3), 1548-1561, doi:10.1785/0120140263. Vere-Jones, D., 1969. A note on the statistical interpretation of Bath's Law. Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 59, 4, 1535-1541. Vezzani, L. & Ghisetti, F., 1998. Carta geologica dell’Abruzzo. Scale 1:100,000, S.EL.CA., Firenze. Wells, D.L. & Coppersmith, K.J., 1994. New empirical relationships among magnitude, rupture length, rupture width, rupture area, and surface displacement, B. Seismol. Soc. Am., 84, 974-1002. Wilson, J.M., Yoder, M.R., Rundle, J.B., Turcotte, D.L. & Schultz, K.W., 2017. Spatial evaluation and verification of earthquake simulators. Pure Appl. Geophys., 174, 2279-2293, doi:10.1007/s00024-016-1385-x. | en |
dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico | 5T. Sismologia, geofisica e geologia per l'ingegneria sismica | en |
dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico | 6T. Studi di pericolosità sismica e da maremoto | en |
dc.description.journalType | JCR Journal | en |
dc.contributor.author | Console, Rodolfo | en |
dc.contributor.author | Vannoli, Paola | en |
dc.contributor.author | Carluccio, Roberto | en |
dc.contributor.department | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Roma1, Roma, Italia | en |
dc.contributor.department | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Roma2, Roma, Italia | en |
item.openairetype | article | - |
item.cerifentitytype | Publications | - |
item.languageiso639-1 | en | - |
item.grantfulltext | open | - |
item.openairecristype | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf | - |
item.fulltext | With Fulltext | - |
crisitem.author.dept | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Roma2, Roma, Italia | - |
crisitem.author.dept | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Roma1, Roma, Italia | - |
crisitem.author.dept | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Roma2, Roma, Italia | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0001-7199-0388 | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0003-4344-0965 | - |
crisitem.author.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
crisitem.author.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
crisitem.author.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
crisitem.department.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
crisitem.department.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
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Console_etal_2018.docx | Manuscript | 1.88 MB | Microsoft Word XML | View/Open |
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