Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2122/11137
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dc.date.accessioned2018-03-12T13:11:07Zen
dc.date.available2018-03-12T13:11:07Zen
dc.date.issued2017-06en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2122/11137en
dc.description.abstractThis contribution proposes iterative cross-validation as an approach to assess the quality of spatial predictions of hazardous events. Given the complexity of mathematical procedures and the diversity of geomorphologic applications made to date, STM, the Spatial Target Mapping, is a piece of software, ancillary to a geographical information system and a spreadsheet, that constrains such complexity into a clearly structured framework optimized for modelling. Spatial relationships are established between the distribution of hazardous occurrences and their physical settings to represent in part the slope failure process. They are used in the modelling to anticipate the location of future occurrences. Procedural aspects and computational options are discussed by means of an application to a database developed for landslide susceptibility prediction in northern Italy. Two mathematical models of spatial relationships, fuzzy set function and logistic discriminant function, are applied to generate prediction patterns, prediction-rate tables, and subsequently compute target and uncertainty patterns. The two processing strategies used are sequential elimination and random selection of occurrences for iterative crossvalidations.en
dc.language.isoEnglishen
dc.relation.ispartofCIMNE International Centre for Numerical Methods in Engineeringen
dc.rightsCC0 1.0 Universalen
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/en
dc.subjectPrediction mappingen
dc.subjectLandslideen
dc.subjectDatabaseen
dc.subjectGeographical Information Systemen
dc.titleSpatial target mapping: an approach to susceptibility prediction based on iterative crossvalidationsen
dc.typeConference paperen
dc.description.statusPublisheden
dc.subject.INGVPrediction mappingen
dc.description.ConferenceLocationSantander, Spainen
dc.relation.referencesChung, C.F. and Fabbri, A.G., 1993. Representation of geoscience data for information integration. Journal of Non-renewable Resources, 2 (2): 122-139. Chung, C.F. and Fabbri, A.G., 1999. Probabilistic prediction models for landslide hazard mapping. Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing, PE&RS, 65 (12): 1389-1399. Chung, C.F. and Fabbri, A.G., 2001. Prediction models for landslide hazard using fuzzy set approach. In, M. Marchetti and V. Rivas, eds., Geomorphology and Environmental Impact Assessment, Balkema, Rotterdam, p. 31-47. Fabbri A.G., Cavallin A., Masetti M., Poli S., Sterlacchini S., and Chung C.J., 2010. Spatial uncertainty of groundwater-vulnerability predictions assessed by a cross-validation strategy: an application to nitrate concentrations in the Province of Milan, Northern Italy. In, C.A. Brebbia, ed., Risk Analysis VII and Brownfields V, Southampton, Wit Press, p.PI-497-514, or WIT Transactions on Information and Communication Technologies, vol. 43, www.witpress.com, ISSN 1743-3517 (on-line) doi:10.2495/RISKJ100421.Fabbri, A.G., Cavallin, A., Patera, A., Sangalli, L. and Chung, C.-J., 2017. Comparing patterns of spatial relationships for susceptibility prediction of landslide occurrences. In M. Mikos et al. (eds), Advancing Culture of Living with Landslides. Proceedings of the 4th World Landslide Forum, Ljubljana, Springer International Publishing AG 2017, DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-53498- 5_129, in press. Fabbri A.G., Chung C.-J., 2009. Training decision-makers in hazard spatial prediction and risk assessment: ideas, tools, strategies and challenges. In, K. Duncan and C. A. Brebbia, eds., Disaster Management and Human Health Risk. Southampton, WIT Press, p. 285-296. Fabbri A.G. and Chung C.-J., 2012. A spatial prediction modeling system for mineral potential and natural hazard mapping. Proceedings of EUREGEO2012, v. II, p. 756-757, Bologna, Italy, June 12-15, 2012. Fabbri, A.G., Chung, C.F. & Jang, D. H., 2004. A software approach to spatial predictions of natural hazards and consequent risks. Risk Analysis IV, C.A. Brebbia, (ed.), Boston, WIT Press: Southampton, pp. 289-305. SpatialModels, STM software: http://www.spatialmodels.comen
dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico2TR. Ricostruzione e modellazione della struttura crostaleen
dc.contributor.authorFabbri, Andrea G.en
dc.contributor.authorPatera, Antonioen
dc.contributor.authorChung, Chang-Joen
dc.contributor.departmentIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Roma1, Roma, Italiaen
dc.contributor.editorAlonso, Elisaen
dc.contributor.editorCorominas, Jordien
dc.contributor.editorHurlimann, Men
item.openairetypeConference paper-
item.cerifentitytypePublications-
item.languageiso639-1en-
item.grantfulltextrestricted-
item.openairecristypehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf-
item.fulltextWith Fulltext-
crisitem.author.deptIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Roma1, Roma, Italia-
crisitem.author.orcid0000-0001-7641-4689-
crisitem.author.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
crisitem.department.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
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