Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://hdl.handle.net/2122/10807
DC Field | Value | Language |
---|---|---|
dc.date.accessioned | 2018-02-27T08:22:22Z | en |
dc.date.available | 2018-02-27T08:22:22Z | en |
dc.date.issued | 2017 | en |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/2122/10807 | en |
dc.description.abstract | The proper scientific interpretation of the seismic hazard estimates requires a probabilistic framework that admits epistemic uncertainties on aleatory variables. This is not straightforward because, to subjectivists, all probabilities are epistemic, whereas to frequentists, all probabilities are aleatory. We illustrate the inadequacy of purely subjectivist and purely frequentist interpretations of probability by examining the probabilistic meaning of the mean hazard. We advocate a unified approach based on experimental concepts that define aleatory variability in terms of exchangeable sequences of observations, and we show how experimental concepts allow testing of models based on expert opinion by frequentist methods. | en |
dc.language.iso | English | en |
dc.relation.ispartof | Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America | en |
dc.relation.ispartofseries | /107 (2017) | en |
dc.title | A Unified Probabilistic Framework for Seismic Hazard Analysis | en |
dc.type | article | en |
dc.description.status | Published | en |
dc.type.QualityControl | Peer-reviewed | en |
dc.description.pagenumber | 2738 – 2744 | en |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1785/0120170008 | en |
dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico | 5T. Modelli di pericolosità sismica e da maremoto | en |
dc.description.journalType | JCR Journal | en |
dc.contributor.author | Marzocchi, Warner | en |
dc.contributor.author | Jordan, Thomas | en |
dc.contributor.department | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Roma1, Roma, Italia | en |
dc.contributor.department | University of Southern California | en |
item.openairetype | article | - |
item.cerifentitytype | Publications | - |
item.languageiso639-1 | en | - |
item.grantfulltext | restricted | - |
item.openairecristype | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf | - |
item.fulltext | With Fulltext | - |
crisitem.author.dept | Univ. of Southern California, USA | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0002-9114-1516 | - |
crisitem.department.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
Appears in Collections: | Article published / in press |
Files in This Item:
File | Description | Size | Format | Existing users please Login |
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BSSA_Marzocchi_Jordan_2017.pdf | 284.4 kB | Adobe PDF |
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