Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://hdl.handle.net/2122/10805
DC Field | Value | Language |
---|---|---|
dc.date.accessioned | 2018-02-27T08:17:29Z | en |
dc.date.available | 2018-02-27T08:17:29Z | en |
dc.date.issued | 2016 | en |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/2122/10805 | en |
dc.description.abstract | The quantitative assessment of the performance of earthquake prediction and/or forecast models is essential for evaluating their applicability for risk reduction purposes. Here we assess the earthquake prediction performance of the CN model applied to the Italian territory. This model has been widely publicized in Italian news media, but a careful assessment of its prediction performance is still lacking. In this paper we evaluate the results obtained so far from the CN algorithm applied to the Italian territory, by adopting widely used testing procedures and under development in the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) network. Our results show that the CN prediction performance is com- parable to the prediction performance of the stationary Poisson model, that is, CN predictions do not add more to what may be expected from random chance. | en |
dc.language.iso | English | en |
dc.relation.ispartof | Annals of Geophysics | en |
dc.relation.ispartofseries | /59 (2016) | en |
dc.rights | CC0 1.0 Universal | en |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/ | en |
dc.title | Assessing ‘alarm-based CN’ earthquake predictions in Italy | en |
dc.type | article | en |
dc.description.status | Published | en |
dc.type.QualityControl | Peer-reviewed | en |
dc.description.pagenumber | S0648 | en |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.4401/ag-6889 | en |
dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico | 5T. Modelli di pericolosità sismica e da maremoto | en |
dc.description.journalType | JCR Journal | en |
dc.contributor.author | Taroni, Matteo | en |
dc.contributor.author | Marzocchi, Warner | en |
dc.contributor.author | Roselli, Pamela | en |
dc.contributor.department | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Roma1, Roma, Italia | en |
dc.contributor.department | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Roma1, Roma, Italia | en |
dc.contributor.department | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Roma1, Roma, Italia | en |
item.openairetype | article | - |
item.cerifentitytype | Publications | - |
item.languageiso639-1 | en | - |
item.grantfulltext | open | - |
item.openairecristype | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf | - |
item.fulltext | With Fulltext | - |
crisitem.author.dept | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Roma1, Roma, Italia | - |
crisitem.author.dept | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Roma1, Roma, Italia | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0001-6999-4590 | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0002-9114-1516 | - |
crisitem.author.orcid | 0000-0003-3844-5059 | - |
crisitem.author.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
crisitem.author.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
crisitem.department.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
crisitem.department.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
crisitem.department.parentorg | Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia | - |
Appears in Collections: | Article published / in press |
Files in This Item:
File | Description | Size | Format | |
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AG_Taroni_etal_2016.pdf | 900.71 kB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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