Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2122/10657
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dc.date.accessioned2017-12-21T07:23:47Zen
dc.date.available2017-12-21T07:23:47Zen
dc.date.issued2017en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2122/10657en
dc.description.abstractAs a consequence of climate change and land subsidence, coastal zones are directly impacted by sea-level rise. In some particular areas, the effects on the ecosystem and urbanisation are particularly enhanced. We focus on the Emilia-Romagna (E-R) coastal plain in Northern Italy, bounded by the Po river mouth to the north and by the Apennines to the south. The plain is  ∼ 130 km long and is characterised by wide areas below mean sea level, in part made up of reclaimed wetlands. In this context, several morphodynamic factors make the shore and back shore unstable. During next decades, the combined effects of land subsidence and of the sea-level rise as a result of climate change are expected to enhance the shoreline instability, leading to further retreat. The consequent loss of beaches would impact the economy of the region, which is tightly connected with tourism infrastructures. Furthermore, the loss of wetlands and dunes would threaten the ecosystem, which is crucial for the preservation of life and the environment. These specific conditions show the importance of a precise definition of the possible local impacts of the ongoing and future climate variations. The aim of this work is the characterisation of vulnerability in different sectors of the coastal plain and the recognition of the areas in which human intervention is urgently required. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) sea-level scenarios are merged with new high-resolution terrain models, current data for local subsidence and predictions of the flooding model in_CoastFlood in order to develop different scenarios for the impact of sea-level rise projected to year 2100. First, the potential land loss due to the combined effect of subsidence and sea-level rise is extrapolated. Second, the increase in floodable areas as a result of storm surges is quantitatively determined. The results are expected to support the regional mitigation and adaptation strategies designed in response to climate change.en
dc.language.isoEnglishen
dc.relation.ispartofNatural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS)en
dc.relation.ispartofseries/17 (2017)en
dc.subjectSea-level changeen
dc.subjectcoasten
dc.titleSea-level rise along the Emilia-Romagna coast (Northern Italy) in 2100: scenarios and impactsen
dc.typearticleen
dc.description.statusPublisheden
dc.type.QualityControlPeer-revieweden
dc.description.pagenumber2271–2287en
dc.subject.INGVcoasten
dc.identifier.doi10.5194/nhess-17-2271-2017en
dc.description.obiettivoSpecifico4A. Oceanografia e climaen
dc.description.journalTypeJCR Journalen
dc.contributor.authorPerini, Luisaen
dc.contributor.authorCalabrese, Lorenzoen
dc.contributor.authorLuciani, Paoloen
dc.contributor.authorOlivieri, Marcoen
dc.contributor.authorGalassi, Gaiaen
dc.contributor.authorSpada, Giorgioen
dc.contributor.departmentIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italiaen
item.openairetypearticle-
item.cerifentitytypePublications-
item.languageiso639-1en-
item.grantfulltextopen-
item.openairecristypehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf-
item.fulltextWith Fulltext-
crisitem.author.deptIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Sezione Bologna, Bologna, Italia-
crisitem.author.deptDipartimento di Scienze di Base e Fondamenti, Urbino University “Carlo Bo”-
crisitem.author.deptInsitute of Physics, University of Urbino, Italy-
crisitem.author.orcid0000-0002-9094-7825-
crisitem.author.orcid0000-0002-7333-8809-
crisitem.author.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
crisitem.department.parentorgIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia-
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